It's been coming. How did it last so long one may ask? 12 goals in 25 games, thats 10 lower than then the next worst team. A team that has played some of the worst football in the last three seasons despite having talented enough players to at least play with some verve. Perhaps its the fact that Aston Villa are finally in the relegation zone that has made the board wake up. Whatever the reason, it is the right decision to. Now, two questions come to mind:
A) Is it too late?
B) Who will replace Paul Lambert?
Showing posts with label Premier League. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Premier League. Show all posts
Wednesday, February 11, 2015
Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Premier League signs record TV deal
5 billion pounds! Once again - 5 billion pounds! That's how much the Premier League broadcasting rights from 2016 to 2019 in the UK cost. This doesn't even include all 380 league matches. It obviously means that the clubs involved are going to get a lot more money. In Britain they are already talking about how this should help grassroots football through greater investment and there is also reasonable talk about making match tickets cheaper for the average fan. These are indeed genuine points of discussion. One can only assume the international rights are going to be just as lucrative. As this writer doesn't support illegal streaming, the hope is increased cost of subscription at least bares out in the teams actually playing football with good players and a modicum of ambition. It gets tiring to watch the drudge served up by clubs like Aston Villa, Hull and Sunderland in recent seasons, not to mention the various mediocre teams that have been relegated and promoted since the last television rights deal was signed. Let the quality of football be the ultimate barometer above the marketing of the product.
Tuesday, December 31, 2013
Premier League Midseason Review - Chelsea
Games Played: 19
Games Won: 12
Games Drawn: 4
Games Lost: 3
Goals For: 35
Goals Against: 19
Goal Difference: +16
Home Form: 28 out of 30 points (2nd in league)
Away Form: 12 out of 27 points (7th in league)
Summary of the season so far:
The Special One returned to Stamford Bridge in the summer, and with it the expectation of more domination and glory for Chelsea. The verdict is out as far as domination is concerned, but at this point of the season Jose Mourinho has guided his beloved Blues to a position where the possibility of achieving glory this season is getting increasingly stronger.
Chelsea’s away performances in this campaign have left a lot to be desired, and even the home performances are missing the control and swagger of Mourinho’s first reign at Stamford Bridge. Nonetheless, that Chelsea are just two points off the pace at the summit of the league despite hardly playing good football suggests that Mourinho’s insatiable appetite for results and getting important wins remains as strong as ever. Throw into the mix that Chelsea are undefeated in encounters against their direct rivals, and Blues fans have every right to be happy with the first half of the league season.
Player of the season so far:
Eden Hazard has consistently delivered for Chelsea this season, taking control in the attacking third with great runs and most importantly excellent finishes. The Belgian leads Chelsea’s goalscoring tally with eight goals in the Premier League, and has linked up really well with every midfielder and forward in the attacking third.
While Hazard has been sensational, Oscar pushes his teammate into second with his all-round displays from midfield. Oscar’s technical ability is second to none. Excellent in keeping possession, fluid when moving with the ball, allied with precise passing, Oscar is the closest player Chelsea have to a midfield orchestrator. What’s often overlooked is the Brazilian’s work off the ball and his contribution in helping the defence. His tackling is under-rated while his natural ability to read the game ensures he takes up the correct positions when required to track back. As Chelsea get set for the business end of the campaign, Oscar is the one player for whom there are no obvious replacements in Chelsea’s big squad.
Underwhelming players:
While he has shown sporadic glimpses of his talent when scoring some wonder goals, Willian still appears to be not much more than a show pony. He hasn’t caused too many problems for defenders in the Premier League so far, and I haven’t seen much to make me believe he will improve as the season goes on. What grates fans of Chelsea and neutrals alike, is that the Brazilian has recently been given more starts than the criminally neglected and underused Juan Mata. There is merit in Mourinho’s argument that Mata isn’t necessarily the best defensively, however the Spaniards talents can surely be accommodated in attack, especially in light of a misfiring forward line.
Demba Ba, Samuel Eto’o and Fernando Torres have all been given sufficient chances but none of the trio have grasped the opportunity to become the first choice striker under Mourinho. Meanwhile Chelsea’s defence isn’t as rock solid as it was during the Portuguese’s first reign, with John Terry and Petr Cech showing increasing signs of vulnerability. That Ashley Cole has been deservedly dropped in place of an inverted left-back in the form of Cesar Azpilicueta, speaks volumes about the England international’s decline in club colours.
High Point of the season:
Chelsea haven’t been at their best this season, and nothing emphasizes this better than the fact that there is no dominant performance that one can remember from the Blues campaign. 2-1 victories against Manchester City and Liverpool at Stamford Bridge despite not being at their best enabled Chelsea to get six crucial points in addition to deflating the morale of their rivals. The 3-1 win at home to Southampton and the 4-3 win at Sunderland showcased Mourinho’s tactical flexibility as well as the attacking verve that Chelsea can showcase when the team is on song.
Low Point of the season:
Defeats away to Everton and Newcastle were deserved, as Chelsea failed to turn up in the second half of both matches. The 3-2 to loss to Stoke at the Britannia stadium was unacceptable in a game Chelsea dominated only to throw away with horrendous mistakes in defence. Neutrals would have liked to see the Blues show more gumption away to Arsenal and Manchester United, but the results justified the means. The worst performance by far was the 2-2 draw at home against West Brom, where Chelsea escaped with a point thanks to a ridiculously gifted penalty in stoppage time.
January transfer requirements:
Chelsea are well-stocked in midfield, and if anything rumours abound that Juan Mata might even try and force a move away in January. A goal scoring forward is the need of the hour for Chelsea, with Mourinho himself admitting that the amount of chances being wasted has resulted in unnecessarily nervous ends to games. If there is any substance in a move for Falcao, Chelsea could ostensibly become clear favourites for the title.
Prospects for the second half of the season:
As has been alluded to in this piece on a few occasions, a Jose Mourinho team near the top of the table without being close to their best is an ominous sign for Chelsea’s rivals in the second half of the season. If Roman Abramovich can splash out the cash on a proven centre forward, Chelsea’s starting eleven will have a complete look about it. That being said Chelsea’s away form has to improve to be considered frontrunners in the race, and the Blues will be targeting a minimum of five wins from their 10 fixtures on the road. With the experience and winning mentality of club stalwarts such as Frank Lampard and John Terry aligned with the conviction of their manager, it is hard to see Chelsea dropping any unnecessary points in a manner that their rivals are prone to. That in itself is sufficient for me to label Chelsea slight favourites when it comes to the business end of the season.
Games Won: 12
Games Drawn: 4
Games Lost: 3
Goals For: 35
Goals Against: 19
Goal Difference: +16
Home Form: 28 out of 30 points (2nd in league)
Away Form: 12 out of 27 points (7th in league)
Summary of the season so far:
The Special One returned to Stamford Bridge in the summer, and with it the expectation of more domination and glory for Chelsea. The verdict is out as far as domination is concerned, but at this point of the season Jose Mourinho has guided his beloved Blues to a position where the possibility of achieving glory this season is getting increasingly stronger.
Chelsea’s away performances in this campaign have left a lot to be desired, and even the home performances are missing the control and swagger of Mourinho’s first reign at Stamford Bridge. Nonetheless, that Chelsea are just two points off the pace at the summit of the league despite hardly playing good football suggests that Mourinho’s insatiable appetite for results and getting important wins remains as strong as ever. Throw into the mix that Chelsea are undefeated in encounters against their direct rivals, and Blues fans have every right to be happy with the first half of the league season.
Player of the season so far:
Eden Hazard has consistently delivered for Chelsea this season, taking control in the attacking third with great runs and most importantly excellent finishes. The Belgian leads Chelsea’s goalscoring tally with eight goals in the Premier League, and has linked up really well with every midfielder and forward in the attacking third.
While Hazard has been sensational, Oscar pushes his teammate into second with his all-round displays from midfield. Oscar’s technical ability is second to none. Excellent in keeping possession, fluid when moving with the ball, allied with precise passing, Oscar is the closest player Chelsea have to a midfield orchestrator. What’s often overlooked is the Brazilian’s work off the ball and his contribution in helping the defence. His tackling is under-rated while his natural ability to read the game ensures he takes up the correct positions when required to track back. As Chelsea get set for the business end of the campaign, Oscar is the one player for whom there are no obvious replacements in Chelsea’s big squad.
Underwhelming players:
While he has shown sporadic glimpses of his talent when scoring some wonder goals, Willian still appears to be not much more than a show pony. He hasn’t caused too many problems for defenders in the Premier League so far, and I haven’t seen much to make me believe he will improve as the season goes on. What grates fans of Chelsea and neutrals alike, is that the Brazilian has recently been given more starts than the criminally neglected and underused Juan Mata. There is merit in Mourinho’s argument that Mata isn’t necessarily the best defensively, however the Spaniards talents can surely be accommodated in attack, especially in light of a misfiring forward line.
Demba Ba, Samuel Eto’o and Fernando Torres have all been given sufficient chances but none of the trio have grasped the opportunity to become the first choice striker under Mourinho. Meanwhile Chelsea’s defence isn’t as rock solid as it was during the Portuguese’s first reign, with John Terry and Petr Cech showing increasing signs of vulnerability. That Ashley Cole has been deservedly dropped in place of an inverted left-back in the form of Cesar Azpilicueta, speaks volumes about the England international’s decline in club colours.
High Point of the season:
Chelsea haven’t been at their best this season, and nothing emphasizes this better than the fact that there is no dominant performance that one can remember from the Blues campaign. 2-1 victories against Manchester City and Liverpool at Stamford Bridge despite not being at their best enabled Chelsea to get six crucial points in addition to deflating the morale of their rivals. The 3-1 win at home to Southampton and the 4-3 win at Sunderland showcased Mourinho’s tactical flexibility as well as the attacking verve that Chelsea can showcase when the team is on song.
Low Point of the season:
Defeats away to Everton and Newcastle were deserved, as Chelsea failed to turn up in the second half of both matches. The 3-2 to loss to Stoke at the Britannia stadium was unacceptable in a game Chelsea dominated only to throw away with horrendous mistakes in defence. Neutrals would have liked to see the Blues show more gumption away to Arsenal and Manchester United, but the results justified the means. The worst performance by far was the 2-2 draw at home against West Brom, where Chelsea escaped with a point thanks to a ridiculously gifted penalty in stoppage time.
January transfer requirements:
Chelsea are well-stocked in midfield, and if anything rumours abound that Juan Mata might even try and force a move away in January. A goal scoring forward is the need of the hour for Chelsea, with Mourinho himself admitting that the amount of chances being wasted has resulted in unnecessarily nervous ends to games. If there is any substance in a move for Falcao, Chelsea could ostensibly become clear favourites for the title.
Prospects for the second half of the season:
As has been alluded to in this piece on a few occasions, a Jose Mourinho team near the top of the table without being close to their best is an ominous sign for Chelsea’s rivals in the second half of the season. If Roman Abramovich can splash out the cash on a proven centre forward, Chelsea’s starting eleven will have a complete look about it. That being said Chelsea’s away form has to improve to be considered frontrunners in the race, and the Blues will be targeting a minimum of five wins from their 10 fixtures on the road. With the experience and winning mentality of club stalwarts such as Frank Lampard and John Terry aligned with the conviction of their manager, it is hard to see Chelsea dropping any unnecessary points in a manner that their rivals are prone to. That in itself is sufficient for me to label Chelsea slight favourites when it comes to the business end of the season.
Premier League Midseason Review - Cardiff City
Games Played: 19
Games Won: 4
Games Drawn: 6
Games Lost: 9
Goals For: 15
Goals Against: 30
Goal Difference: -15
Home Form: 12 out of 30 points (13th in league)
Away Form: 6 out of 27 points (17th in league)
League Position: 16th
Summary of the season so far:
Results on the pitch have taken a backseat as off-field shenanigans have dominated the news cycle on Cardiff City’s entry into the Premier League. Owner Vincent Tan has dominated the headlines due to his fights with manager Malky Mackay, ultimately leading to the latter’s dismissal last week.
There have been some highs on the pitch, as a squad combining a good blend of quality individuals with hard working players has managed to eke out some impressive results. However, after looking good enough to stay in the division, Cardiff’s form has tailed off since mid-November and the Bluebirds are now definitely involved in the relegation scrap.
Player of the season so far:
Steven Caulker has been an excellent signing for Cardiff, as the centre-back has easily been the team’s best defender, while chipping in with his fair share of important goals from set-pieces. At the other end of the pitch, Frazier Campbell has chipped in with four important goals, including a double in the sensational victory against Manchester City. Guy Medel has also been a very good signing, as the Chilean has done a good job as an enforcer in front of the Bluebirds defence.
However, the Bluebirds two best players have been midfielders Jordon Mutch and Kim Bo-Kyung. Mutch has scored four goals from midfield, as he marries his physical prowess with technical ability really well, always managing to make himself an option when Cardiff are on the attack. The South Korean Kim has been the most elegant player in the team, and his fantastic passing would surely have earned greater rewards at a team blessed with better forwards. Kim also makes excellent late runs into the box, especially as evidenced in his equalizing goal against Manchester United.
Underwhelming players:
Its fair to say in a squad not blessed with a lot of quality, almost every player has put in an honest shift. However, two players have disappointed by not coming to the party. For a team of Cardiff’s resources to spend the amount of money they did on Andreas Cornelius was ludicrous, as the Dane has struggled with injury in his first months in South Wales. Even when he has come off the bench, Cornelius has not looked up to Premier League standard.
At least Cornelius has injury and adjusting to a new league as reasons to fall back on. Peter Odemwingie has no such excuses. After becoming one of the most despised players in the league after his transfer shenanigans in January, plenty thought the acquisition of the Nigerian was a shrewd move by Mackay. In stead of providing the Bluebirds with a different dimension in attack, Odemwingie has been woefully of the pace, compromising a wast number of attacks in promising positions with an ill-judged pass or a terrible first touch.
High Point of the season:
The 3-2 win against Manchester City in the first home game of the season was special, as Cardiff City Stadium rocked and bounced in a rarified atmosphere. However, for fans of the club nothing will top the 1-0 victory over Swansea in the highly anticipated South Wales derby. A solitary away win at Fulham thanks to a wonderful strike from Mutch could end up being crucial in a tight relegation race. On a different note, Aaron Ramsey’s singing reception from Cardiff fans after the Arsenal midfielder scored against them was unforgettable, and served as a fantastic albeit rare example of genuine fan spirit in the league.
Low Point of the season:
Tan and Mackay washing their dirty linen in public was a disgrace for the club, completely overshadowing a genuine debate about whether the owner was right to let the manager go. Cardiff’s away form has been abysmal, but the worst performance of the season had to be the first half surrender to Southampton at home. That result was immediately followed by Cardiff throwing away points in a draw at home to Sunderland despite being 2-0 up after 60 minutes.
January transfer requirements:
First and foremost, a new manager. It won’t be the easiest task to get a new manager who will work within Tan’s setup, although the chairman has promised funds to bolster the squad. With the exception of the last three games of the year, Cardiff’s defence has been difficult to breach, so those funds will be well spent on reinforcing the attacking options, preferably on two good wingers and a backup striker.
Prospects for the second half of the season:
Cardiff have slowly slipped into the relegation mix. Any half decent manager should provide the standard lift in fortunes for the first month, but the Bluebirds face an unforgiving second half of their Premier League campaign. Much will invariably depend on the identity of the new manager, as it takes a particular kind of manager to get straight into a relegation scrap. Crystal Palace and Sunderland are showing signs of improvement, while West Ham and Fulham possess the x-factor that can win matches at the bottom of the table. Cardiff possess neither the consistency nor the flair to go on a significant run. One senses an injury to Caulker, Medel, Mutch or Kim could be fatal for Cardiff, as they to try to survive in an incredibly competitive tussle to avoid falling through the relegation trapdoor.
Games Won: 4
Games Drawn: 6
Games Lost: 9
Goals For: 15
Goals Against: 30
Goal Difference: -15
Home Form: 12 out of 30 points (13th in league)
Away Form: 6 out of 27 points (17th in league)
League Position: 16th
Summary of the season so far:
Results on the pitch have taken a backseat as off-field shenanigans have dominated the news cycle on Cardiff City’s entry into the Premier League. Owner Vincent Tan has dominated the headlines due to his fights with manager Malky Mackay, ultimately leading to the latter’s dismissal last week.
There have been some highs on the pitch, as a squad combining a good blend of quality individuals with hard working players has managed to eke out some impressive results. However, after looking good enough to stay in the division, Cardiff’s form has tailed off since mid-November and the Bluebirds are now definitely involved in the relegation scrap.
Player of the season so far:
Steven Caulker has been an excellent signing for Cardiff, as the centre-back has easily been the team’s best defender, while chipping in with his fair share of important goals from set-pieces. At the other end of the pitch, Frazier Campbell has chipped in with four important goals, including a double in the sensational victory against Manchester City. Guy Medel has also been a very good signing, as the Chilean has done a good job as an enforcer in front of the Bluebirds defence.
However, the Bluebirds two best players have been midfielders Jordon Mutch and Kim Bo-Kyung. Mutch has scored four goals from midfield, as he marries his physical prowess with technical ability really well, always managing to make himself an option when Cardiff are on the attack. The South Korean Kim has been the most elegant player in the team, and his fantastic passing would surely have earned greater rewards at a team blessed with better forwards. Kim also makes excellent late runs into the box, especially as evidenced in his equalizing goal against Manchester United.
Underwhelming players:
Its fair to say in a squad not blessed with a lot of quality, almost every player has put in an honest shift. However, two players have disappointed by not coming to the party. For a team of Cardiff’s resources to spend the amount of money they did on Andreas Cornelius was ludicrous, as the Dane has struggled with injury in his first months in South Wales. Even when he has come off the bench, Cornelius has not looked up to Premier League standard.
At least Cornelius has injury and adjusting to a new league as reasons to fall back on. Peter Odemwingie has no such excuses. After becoming one of the most despised players in the league after his transfer shenanigans in January, plenty thought the acquisition of the Nigerian was a shrewd move by Mackay. In stead of providing the Bluebirds with a different dimension in attack, Odemwingie has been woefully of the pace, compromising a wast number of attacks in promising positions with an ill-judged pass or a terrible first touch.
High Point of the season:
The 3-2 win against Manchester City in the first home game of the season was special, as Cardiff City Stadium rocked and bounced in a rarified atmosphere. However, for fans of the club nothing will top the 1-0 victory over Swansea in the highly anticipated South Wales derby. A solitary away win at Fulham thanks to a wonderful strike from Mutch could end up being crucial in a tight relegation race. On a different note, Aaron Ramsey’s singing reception from Cardiff fans after the Arsenal midfielder scored against them was unforgettable, and served as a fantastic albeit rare example of genuine fan spirit in the league.
Low Point of the season:
Tan and Mackay washing their dirty linen in public was a disgrace for the club, completely overshadowing a genuine debate about whether the owner was right to let the manager go. Cardiff’s away form has been abysmal, but the worst performance of the season had to be the first half surrender to Southampton at home. That result was immediately followed by Cardiff throwing away points in a draw at home to Sunderland despite being 2-0 up after 60 minutes.
January transfer requirements:
First and foremost, a new manager. It won’t be the easiest task to get a new manager who will work within Tan’s setup, although the chairman has promised funds to bolster the squad. With the exception of the last three games of the year, Cardiff’s defence has been difficult to breach, so those funds will be well spent on reinforcing the attacking options, preferably on two good wingers and a backup striker.
Prospects for the second half of the season:
Cardiff have slowly slipped into the relegation mix. Any half decent manager should provide the standard lift in fortunes for the first month, but the Bluebirds face an unforgiving second half of their Premier League campaign. Much will invariably depend on the identity of the new manager, as it takes a particular kind of manager to get straight into a relegation scrap. Crystal Palace and Sunderland are showing signs of improvement, while West Ham and Fulham possess the x-factor that can win matches at the bottom of the table. Cardiff possess neither the consistency nor the flair to go on a significant run. One senses an injury to Caulker, Medel, Mutch or Kim could be fatal for Cardiff, as they to try to survive in an incredibly competitive tussle to avoid falling through the relegation trapdoor.
Premier League Midseason Review - Arsenal
Games Played: 19
Games Won: 13
Games Drawn: 3
Games Lost: 3
Goals For: 37
Goals Against: 18
Goal Difference: +19
Home Form: 20 out of 27 points (5th in league)
Away Form: 22 out of 30 points (1st in league)
League Position: 1st
Summary of the season so far:
The ramshackle opening day defeat to Aston Villa at the Emirates must seem like another lifetime altogether for Gunners fans after a tremendous run of form sees Arsenal at the top of the Premier League table heading into the new year. Two factors have been crucial in the uplifting of spirits at the club. The first was the deadline day signing of Mesut Ozil from Real Madrid. After not spending a dime the whole summer, Arsene Wenger’s capture of the gifted German playmaker changed the dynamic of the Arsenal’s season, as both the playing squad and fan base got a massive jolt of confidence.
The second reason for celebration this year has been the sensational form of Aaron Ramsey. His contribution in the goals department from midfield has won Arsenal significant points both domestically and on the continent. Furthermore, his all-round midfield play has been superb, linking well with Olivier Giroud and Arsenal’s surfeit of creative attackers in the final third, in addition to helping out the defence with robust ball-winning tackles. Arsenal also finish the first half of the Premier League campaign tied for the best defence in the league. The back four of Bacary Sagna, Kieran Gibbs, Per Mertesacker and Laurent Koscielny have been fantastic both in a technical and tactical sense. Plenty in the punditocracy were waiting for Arsenal to fall in the first half, but despite some bumps against other big teams, the Gunners have allied their trademark beautiful football with resilience on the road to deservedly lead the Premier League table.
Player of the season so far:
Aaron Ramsey has been the player who has grabbed all the headlines. The Welshman’s goals and assists have proven significant and it’s a sign of how far he has come this season, that Gunners’ fans are dreading a current injury-enforced absence. Mesut Ozil has displayed his penchant for creating assists out of nothing, while his effect on Arsenal’s improved vertical play is obvious.
However, my vote goes to the centre-back duo of Per Mertesacker and Laurent Koscielny. When the pair play the full ninety minutes, Arsenal are nigh on unbeatable as demonstrated by the statistic that the team are undefeated in the last 26 matches that their centre-backs have completed in tandem. In addition to being defensively sound, both Mertesacker and Koscielny contribute to the passing ethos of the team with their excellent build-up play from the back. When either one of the two is injured, there is a visible drop in the standard of Arsenal’s defence.
Underwhelming players:
Santi Cazorla’s signing was Wenger’s best transfer last summer, and its fair to say that the Spaniard hasn’t hit the form displayed in the previous season. That being said, Cazorla is being judged by his own lofty standards, and his performance from the centre of the park in the last half an hour against West Ham was as majestic as it was crucial in Arsenal getting the three points.
Nicklas Bendtner contributed with a goal against Hull City, but otherwise the Dane is nowhere near good enough to play for Arsenal as witnessed in some shabby displays from the bench as well as in the League Cup. Thomas Vermaelen won’t be feeling chuffed about the fact that Arsenal haven’t won with him in the side, but the Belgian plays so rarely that a definitive judgement cannot be made on him on the basis of playing only when one of the first choice centre-backs is missing.
High Point of the season so far:
It’s difficult to pick out an obvious high point in such a consistent first half. Easily forgotten is the fact that going into the North London derby most pundits had painted Spurs as more realistic challengers than Arsenal, hence the 1-0 victory was important in setting the tone for the Gunners season. A 2-0 victory over Liverpool was pleasing especially as it came on the back of a momentous away win in Dortmund. Aesthetically, Arsenal scored four brilliant goals in a 4-1 win over Norwich, while two consecutive away wins at West Ham and Newcastle to finish the year could prove significant come the end of the campaign.
Low Point of the season so far:
Arsenal’s away performances at both Manchester clubs. The game away to United was marked by fear. The Red Devils were there to be beaten at Old Trafford, and that Wenger couldn’t get his midfield to play to their potential was disheartening. The game at the Etihad was disappointing for the lack of tactical acumen shown by both players and manager, in addition to a complete meltdown in defence which rather sadly wasn’t surprising considering Arsenal’s recent history in big games. Dropped points at home to Everton after taking the lead in the 80th minute could yet come back to haunt Arsenal in a close title race.
January transfer requirements:
Back-up to Olivier Giroud is crucial, as the Frenchman is clearly starting to show signs of physical and mental fatigue. The recent returns of Theo Walcott and Lukas Podolski do give Arsenal more options, but Wenger has said he is willing to pay big money for a special player in the January transfer window. Considering the depth he has elsewhere in the squad, Gunners fans will be hoping its money spent on a forward.
Prospects for the second half of the season:
It’s been a few seasons since Arsenal were involved in the title race at the turn of the year. With a brilliant midfield coupled with the league’s best away record, there is no reason why Arsenal can’t win the league playing their brand of football. A better opportunity might not present itself for Arsenal, as both Chelsea and Manchester City while looking ominous have their vulnerabilities. The challenge remains — as it has for the best part of a decade now — in the mentality of the club. Already this season Wenger has failed to rouse his troops in their toughest examinations, while his tactical naivety against the league’s best strategists could hinder Arsenal’s title ambitions. Nonetheless, with home games against both Manchester clubs yet to come, and a relatively easy January, Arsenal should at the very least manage to ensure that they are in the title race come May.
Games Won: 13
Games Drawn: 3
Games Lost: 3
Goals For: 37
Goals Against: 18
Goal Difference: +19
Home Form: 20 out of 27 points (5th in league)
Away Form: 22 out of 30 points (1st in league)
League Position: 1st
Summary of the season so far:
The ramshackle opening day defeat to Aston Villa at the Emirates must seem like another lifetime altogether for Gunners fans after a tremendous run of form sees Arsenal at the top of the Premier League table heading into the new year. Two factors have been crucial in the uplifting of spirits at the club. The first was the deadline day signing of Mesut Ozil from Real Madrid. After not spending a dime the whole summer, Arsene Wenger’s capture of the gifted German playmaker changed the dynamic of the Arsenal’s season, as both the playing squad and fan base got a massive jolt of confidence.
The second reason for celebration this year has been the sensational form of Aaron Ramsey. His contribution in the goals department from midfield has won Arsenal significant points both domestically and on the continent. Furthermore, his all-round midfield play has been superb, linking well with Olivier Giroud and Arsenal’s surfeit of creative attackers in the final third, in addition to helping out the defence with robust ball-winning tackles. Arsenal also finish the first half of the Premier League campaign tied for the best defence in the league. The back four of Bacary Sagna, Kieran Gibbs, Per Mertesacker and Laurent Koscielny have been fantastic both in a technical and tactical sense. Plenty in the punditocracy were waiting for Arsenal to fall in the first half, but despite some bumps against other big teams, the Gunners have allied their trademark beautiful football with resilience on the road to deservedly lead the Premier League table.
Player of the season so far:
Aaron Ramsey has been the player who has grabbed all the headlines. The Welshman’s goals and assists have proven significant and it’s a sign of how far he has come this season, that Gunners’ fans are dreading a current injury-enforced absence. Mesut Ozil has displayed his penchant for creating assists out of nothing, while his effect on Arsenal’s improved vertical play is obvious.
However, my vote goes to the centre-back duo of Per Mertesacker and Laurent Koscielny. When the pair play the full ninety minutes, Arsenal are nigh on unbeatable as demonstrated by the statistic that the team are undefeated in the last 26 matches that their centre-backs have completed in tandem. In addition to being defensively sound, both Mertesacker and Koscielny contribute to the passing ethos of the team with their excellent build-up play from the back. When either one of the two is injured, there is a visible drop in the standard of Arsenal’s defence.
Underwhelming players:
Santi Cazorla’s signing was Wenger’s best transfer last summer, and its fair to say that the Spaniard hasn’t hit the form displayed in the previous season. That being said, Cazorla is being judged by his own lofty standards, and his performance from the centre of the park in the last half an hour against West Ham was as majestic as it was crucial in Arsenal getting the three points.
Nicklas Bendtner contributed with a goal against Hull City, but otherwise the Dane is nowhere near good enough to play for Arsenal as witnessed in some shabby displays from the bench as well as in the League Cup. Thomas Vermaelen won’t be feeling chuffed about the fact that Arsenal haven’t won with him in the side, but the Belgian plays so rarely that a definitive judgement cannot be made on him on the basis of playing only when one of the first choice centre-backs is missing.
High Point of the season so far:
It’s difficult to pick out an obvious high point in such a consistent first half. Easily forgotten is the fact that going into the North London derby most pundits had painted Spurs as more realistic challengers than Arsenal, hence the 1-0 victory was important in setting the tone for the Gunners season. A 2-0 victory over Liverpool was pleasing especially as it came on the back of a momentous away win in Dortmund. Aesthetically, Arsenal scored four brilliant goals in a 4-1 win over Norwich, while two consecutive away wins at West Ham and Newcastle to finish the year could prove significant come the end of the campaign.
Low Point of the season so far:
Arsenal’s away performances at both Manchester clubs. The game away to United was marked by fear. The Red Devils were there to be beaten at Old Trafford, and that Wenger couldn’t get his midfield to play to their potential was disheartening. The game at the Etihad was disappointing for the lack of tactical acumen shown by both players and manager, in addition to a complete meltdown in defence which rather sadly wasn’t surprising considering Arsenal’s recent history in big games. Dropped points at home to Everton after taking the lead in the 80th minute could yet come back to haunt Arsenal in a close title race.
January transfer requirements:
Back-up to Olivier Giroud is crucial, as the Frenchman is clearly starting to show signs of physical and mental fatigue. The recent returns of Theo Walcott and Lukas Podolski do give Arsenal more options, but Wenger has said he is willing to pay big money for a special player in the January transfer window. Considering the depth he has elsewhere in the squad, Gunners fans will be hoping its money spent on a forward.
Prospects for the second half of the season:
It’s been a few seasons since Arsenal were involved in the title race at the turn of the year. With a brilliant midfield coupled with the league’s best away record, there is no reason why Arsenal can’t win the league playing their brand of football. A better opportunity might not present itself for Arsenal, as both Chelsea and Manchester City while looking ominous have their vulnerabilities. The challenge remains — as it has for the best part of a decade now — in the mentality of the club. Already this season Wenger has failed to rouse his troops in their toughest examinations, while his tactical naivety against the league’s best strategists could hinder Arsenal’s title ambitions. Nonetheless, with home games against both Manchester clubs yet to come, and a relatively easy January, Arsenal should at the very least manage to ensure that they are in the title race come May.
Saturday, December 28, 2013
Premier League Predictions Round 19
After Boxing Day laid waste to many predictions including those from yours truly, the holiday programme of the Premier League rolls on with the next set of weekend fixtures already upon us. This weekend marks the halfway point of the season as all teams will have played 19 games, and after some important away wins at both ends of the table on Boxing Day, I try and predict another crucial round of games in the Premier League.
West Ham United vs. West Bromwich Albion
A match between two teams who are both at the bottom of the alphabetical order of teams in the league as well as being bottom of the form table. West Ham gave Arsenal a run for their money on Boxing Day, before eventually losing 3-1. The Hammers haven't been able to get the wins at home recently, but now that they are in the relegation zone, they have no choice but to win games against fellow strugglers at Upton Park. West Bromwich have completely fallen off the rails after some impressive performances against the country's best teams, but despite not having a manager they were able to get an impressive point at White Hart Lane on Boxing Day. I think Sam Allardyce can take solace in the fact that not every attack is as potent as the Gunners, and their fine defensive record at home will see them get a tense win over the Baggies.
Aston Villa vs. Swansea City
I have to admit my surprise at Aston Villa being so poor in Paul Lambert's second season in charge. Villa's struggles have not been noticed by many, but that is mainly due to the fact that there are so many poor teams in the division. However, the Villains are only three points above Crystal Palace and Fulham, with each display getting progressively worse. Villa Park seems to be the best place to visit in the league right now, and I have a feeling Swansea will take the opportunity to get their first win in five games at the expense of Aston Villa. The Swans are due a good result, and I expect them to gain the three points on the back of their midfield dominating the centre of Villa Park.
Hull City vs. Fulham
Under regular circumstances, I would pick Hull to get a regulation win at home against one of the weaker away teams in the league. However, in this crowded holiday period momentum matters most to teams in the lower half of the table, as they simply don't have the depth to recover in time. The Tigers must be deflated after losing to Manchester United despite being 2-0 up at home, while the cottagers will be full of confidence after a fantastic comeback victory away to Norwich. With just two days between the matches, I expect Fulham to carry their momentum forward and get three points at a subdued KC Stadium.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace
Manchester City came through their toughest home test of the season so far, with a tough 2-1 win over Liverpool. It will certainly delight Manuel Pellegrini that City won that crucial fixture despite being outplayed for waste swathes of the game, and in many aspects it was an even better victory than the thrashings they have regularly handed out to visitors at the Eithad this season. It's vital that City follow up Wednesday's win with a routine three points against Tony Pulis' improved Crystal Palace. The Eagles will be buoyed at not being in the relegation zone for the first time this season after a splendid away win at Villa Park. Palace have already gained three points they didn't budget for during the holiday schedule, and hence will not be too disheartened at leaving the Etihad without any points against City's juggernaut.
Norwich City vs. Manchester United
After a fine run of form, Norwich suffered a shock loss at home to Fulham. Gary Hooper did get another goal, but losing to Scott Parker's late wonder goal will have brought morale down at Carrow Road. Conversely, Manchester United will be in great spirits after their comeback at Hull, and will be confident of getting another three points against Norwich. The Canaries have troubled the Red Devils in this fixture including getting a great win last season. United also have some injury problems at the back to contend with, but their attacking options should enable them to get another tough win on the road.
Cardiff City vs. Sunderland
Cardiff are all over the place at the moment, and thankfully the fiasco between Vincent Tan and Malky Mackay came to an end on Friday with the sacking of the manager. The Bluebirds are not playing with any joy as was witnessed in their shellacking at home to Southampton. Sunderland on the other hand will have regained belief in escaping relegation after a monumental away win against Everton. Remarkably Gus Poyet's men have now been unbeaten on the road in December, and is in the case of Fulham should be able to carry the winning momentum against a rudderless Cardiff in this relegation six-pointer.
Everton vs. Southampton
Everton missed a golden opportunity to get into 4th place after a shock 1-0 defeat at home to Sunderland. To give Roberto Martinez's men their fair share of credit, they created chance after chance despite being a man down for almost 70 minutes. These are the kind of results that differentiate true contenders from the best of the rest, and despite the Toffees impressive first half of the season, they are not quite the finished product. It will be hard to rebound psychologically after such a defeat, and to make matters worse the Saints will be arriving on the back of their first win since the international break. I believe this will actually be a good game between two managers who have the right footballing philosophy, but I also think two excellent midfields will cancel each other out in a draw.
Newcastle United vs. Arsenal
Newcastle come into this game on the back of their two biggest wins of the season. However, Stoke's remarkable unravelling overshadowed the fact that the Magpies were being completely outplayed on their own patch for the majority of the first half. Yohan Cabaye will be crucial to the Magpies hopes, but the Frenchman cannot contend against Arsenal's variety in midfield on his own. I mentioned before the last round that despite a rough set of results recently, the Gunners are still on top, and with Theo Walcott and Lukas Podolski contributing on their returns of injury, Arsenal should be able to start another winning run. As long as Arsenal maintain their focus defensively, they should become the second team to depart St. James Park with three points this season on the back of their creative and technical superiority to Newcastle.
Chelsea vs. Liverpool
One has to go back to Jose Mourinho and Rafa Benitez's early years in England, since Liverpool played Chelsea with so much at stake. Mourinho is back in charge at Stamford Bridge, while the Reds have a different manager who is beginning to make fans believe again. Chelsea's problems in attack were highlighted with another 1-0 victory against Swansea that was too close for comfort. Liverpool were extremely unfortunate to lose against Manchester City last time around, and the key will be how Rodgers gets his players motivated for a second successive big game on the road. With Ramires being suspended for the Blues, Liverpool could have joy in the midfield battle and create chances despite Chelsea's record at home. However, lost in the aftermath of the good performance at the Etihad was another uncertain and chaotic display by the Reds defence. I can see Liverpool putting on another good away display, but with John Terry and Gary Cahill, I think Chelsea will win on the back of their set piece superiority.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Stoke City
If anyone had delusions about Tim Sherwood's managerial appointment being the solution for Spurs after Andre Villas Boas' reign at White Hart Lane, the 1-1 draw against West Brom exposed a clear lack of tactical understanding by the new manager. Playing without either a midfield pivot or defensive midfielder is a reminder of the Premier League in the 90's, and with nuanced approaches and tactically sophisticated managers now dominating the upper echelons of the division, Sherwood will be found out sooner or later. For this game however, a dishevelled Stoke City should be seen off without too much discomfort, as Spurs finally get their first win at White Hart Lane in a while.
West Ham United vs. West Bromwich Albion
A match between two teams who are both at the bottom of the alphabetical order of teams in the league as well as being bottom of the form table. West Ham gave Arsenal a run for their money on Boxing Day, before eventually losing 3-1. The Hammers haven't been able to get the wins at home recently, but now that they are in the relegation zone, they have no choice but to win games against fellow strugglers at Upton Park. West Bromwich have completely fallen off the rails after some impressive performances against the country's best teams, but despite not having a manager they were able to get an impressive point at White Hart Lane on Boxing Day. I think Sam Allardyce can take solace in the fact that not every attack is as potent as the Gunners, and their fine defensive record at home will see them get a tense win over the Baggies.
Aston Villa vs. Swansea City
I have to admit my surprise at Aston Villa being so poor in Paul Lambert's second season in charge. Villa's struggles have not been noticed by many, but that is mainly due to the fact that there are so many poor teams in the division. However, the Villains are only three points above Crystal Palace and Fulham, with each display getting progressively worse. Villa Park seems to be the best place to visit in the league right now, and I have a feeling Swansea will take the opportunity to get their first win in five games at the expense of Aston Villa. The Swans are due a good result, and I expect them to gain the three points on the back of their midfield dominating the centre of Villa Park.
Hull City vs. Fulham
Under regular circumstances, I would pick Hull to get a regulation win at home against one of the weaker away teams in the league. However, in this crowded holiday period momentum matters most to teams in the lower half of the table, as they simply don't have the depth to recover in time. The Tigers must be deflated after losing to Manchester United despite being 2-0 up at home, while the cottagers will be full of confidence after a fantastic comeback victory away to Norwich. With just two days between the matches, I expect Fulham to carry their momentum forward and get three points at a subdued KC Stadium.
Manchester City vs. Crystal Palace
Manchester City came through their toughest home test of the season so far, with a tough 2-1 win over Liverpool. It will certainly delight Manuel Pellegrini that City won that crucial fixture despite being outplayed for waste swathes of the game, and in many aspects it was an even better victory than the thrashings they have regularly handed out to visitors at the Eithad this season. It's vital that City follow up Wednesday's win with a routine three points against Tony Pulis' improved Crystal Palace. The Eagles will be buoyed at not being in the relegation zone for the first time this season after a splendid away win at Villa Park. Palace have already gained three points they didn't budget for during the holiday schedule, and hence will not be too disheartened at leaving the Etihad without any points against City's juggernaut.
Norwich City vs. Manchester United
After a fine run of form, Norwich suffered a shock loss at home to Fulham. Gary Hooper did get another goal, but losing to Scott Parker's late wonder goal will have brought morale down at Carrow Road. Conversely, Manchester United will be in great spirits after their comeback at Hull, and will be confident of getting another three points against Norwich. The Canaries have troubled the Red Devils in this fixture including getting a great win last season. United also have some injury problems at the back to contend with, but their attacking options should enable them to get another tough win on the road.
Cardiff City vs. Sunderland
Cardiff are all over the place at the moment, and thankfully the fiasco between Vincent Tan and Malky Mackay came to an end on Friday with the sacking of the manager. The Bluebirds are not playing with any joy as was witnessed in their shellacking at home to Southampton. Sunderland on the other hand will have regained belief in escaping relegation after a monumental away win against Everton. Remarkably Gus Poyet's men have now been unbeaten on the road in December, and is in the case of Fulham should be able to carry the winning momentum against a rudderless Cardiff in this relegation six-pointer.
Everton vs. Southampton
Everton missed a golden opportunity to get into 4th place after a shock 1-0 defeat at home to Sunderland. To give Roberto Martinez's men their fair share of credit, they created chance after chance despite being a man down for almost 70 minutes. These are the kind of results that differentiate true contenders from the best of the rest, and despite the Toffees impressive first half of the season, they are not quite the finished product. It will be hard to rebound psychologically after such a defeat, and to make matters worse the Saints will be arriving on the back of their first win since the international break. I believe this will actually be a good game between two managers who have the right footballing philosophy, but I also think two excellent midfields will cancel each other out in a draw.
Newcastle United vs. Arsenal
Newcastle come into this game on the back of their two biggest wins of the season. However, Stoke's remarkable unravelling overshadowed the fact that the Magpies were being completely outplayed on their own patch for the majority of the first half. Yohan Cabaye will be crucial to the Magpies hopes, but the Frenchman cannot contend against Arsenal's variety in midfield on his own. I mentioned before the last round that despite a rough set of results recently, the Gunners are still on top, and with Theo Walcott and Lukas Podolski contributing on their returns of injury, Arsenal should be able to start another winning run. As long as Arsenal maintain their focus defensively, they should become the second team to depart St. James Park with three points this season on the back of their creative and technical superiority to Newcastle.
Chelsea vs. Liverpool
One has to go back to Jose Mourinho and Rafa Benitez's early years in England, since Liverpool played Chelsea with so much at stake. Mourinho is back in charge at Stamford Bridge, while the Reds have a different manager who is beginning to make fans believe again. Chelsea's problems in attack were highlighted with another 1-0 victory against Swansea that was too close for comfort. Liverpool were extremely unfortunate to lose against Manchester City last time around, and the key will be how Rodgers gets his players motivated for a second successive big game on the road. With Ramires being suspended for the Blues, Liverpool could have joy in the midfield battle and create chances despite Chelsea's record at home. However, lost in the aftermath of the good performance at the Etihad was another uncertain and chaotic display by the Reds defence. I can see Liverpool putting on another good away display, but with John Terry and Gary Cahill, I think Chelsea will win on the back of their set piece superiority.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Stoke City
If anyone had delusions about Tim Sherwood's managerial appointment being the solution for Spurs after Andre Villas Boas' reign at White Hart Lane, the 1-1 draw against West Brom exposed a clear lack of tactical understanding by the new manager. Playing without either a midfield pivot or defensive midfielder is a reminder of the Premier League in the 90's, and with nuanced approaches and tactically sophisticated managers now dominating the upper echelons of the division, Sherwood will be found out sooner or later. For this game however, a dishevelled Stoke City should be seen off without too much discomfort, as Spurs finally get their first win at White Hart Lane in a while.
Thursday, December 26, 2013
Premier League Predictions Round 18
Boxing Day welcomes the second round of fixtures in the hectic holiday schedule of the Premier League. I participate in the festivities by providing my predictions for this crucial round.
Hull City vs. Manchester United
This is a good test for Manchester United as David Moyes’ men visit Steve Bruce’s impressive side at the KC Stadium. Many expect United to claim maximum points from the holiday fixtures, but I believe such a prediction does a huge disservice to Hull City. Hull have been almost flawless at home except for a shock loss to Crystal Palace. United certainly have the creative advantage, however they won’t find it easy to bypass either the strong midfield pair of Tom Huddlestone and Jake Livermore, or one of the stingiest defences marshalled by a reborn Curtis Davies. Hull do struggle to score, but I believe their defensive nous will enable them to fight out a tough draw against the champions.
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace
Something has to give in a match between one of the worst home teams in the league and one of the worst travellers in the league. Paul Lambert’s counterattacking style has worked well on the road, but Villa Park hasn’t been kind to Aston Villa. With no creative presence in either midfield, it’s certainly a game the neutrals want to stay away from. Palace will be missing the recently rejuvenated Marouane Chamakh, and have no viable replacement upfront. Libor Kozak has been chipping in with goals as Christian Benteke continues his struggles, and the Polish forward might just lead Aston Villa to a scrappy win.
Cardiff City vs. Southampton
Cardiff are extremely strong at home, and are another team that are extremely difficult to beat in their own confines despite having obvious problems in attack. Southampton will hope to finally get a win after a run that has seen the Saints play five teams above them in the table in their last six fixtures. It seems like an eternity since Mauricio Pochettino’s men were being praised from all corners for their excellent start to the season. Pochettino will want the three points in this fixture, however I think Vincent Tan might have inadvertently ensured that there will be a raucous atmosphere in Cardiff to support Malky Mackay, which might just propel the Bluebirds to another shock victory at home.
Chelsea vs. Swansea
Jose Mourinho came in for some unfair criticism after the dour draw away to Arsenal. The truth of the matter is that Mourinho deals in only one currency - results. A point at the Emirates is no disgrace, and expect Mourinho to field a more attacking line-up against the Swans who haven’t had much success at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League. I expect a comfortable win for the Blues to set them up nicely for the crucial encounter against Liverpool on the weekend.
Everton vs. Sunderland
After gaining four points from two tough away games to Manchester United and Arsenal, it was vital for Everton to sustain their form in subsequent fixtures. Roberto Martinez has ensured that his men have stayed focused, as the Toffees wracked up back-to-back wins against Fulham and Swansea, without necessarily being at their best. Everton have a lot of options to make a difference, something Sunderland patently don’t have. I predicted the Mackems to pick up points and wins in recent matches, however despite Gus Poyet’s best efforts the confidence of the players must be slowly ebbing away. With Everton in the midst of one of their best seasons, I can see their superior firepower prevailing over a Sunderland defence without the services of the suspended Wes Brown.
Newcastle United vs. Stoke City
A match between two teams in great form. Newcastle played with verve and panache in disposing Crystal Palace at Selhurt Park on the weekend, as Yohan Cabaye dictated everything from the centre of the park. Stoke City have won two games on the bounce at home, and come into the game with the confidence of being in the top half of the table for the first time this season. However, I doubt Stoke have the mentality to sustain their form away from home during a crowded fixture period. I pick Newcastle to win a surprisingly entertaining encounter.
Norwich City vs. Fulham
The Canaries are now unbeaten in four games, as the pressure begins to ease on manager Chris Hughton. Leroy Fer and Gary Hooper have been the key components in Norwich’s recent revival, and will be relied upon to perform well in front of an expectant crowd at Carrow Road. Rene Meulensteen has had a mixed bag to start his reign as manager of Fulham. A dominant win over Aston Villa has been the highlight, while on another day the Cottagers certainly could have got more from tough games against Tottenham, Everton and Manchester City. I actually believe Meulensteen has got Fulham more focused and tactically compact, and they will be good enough to get a point at Norwich.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. West Bromwich Albion
There are many doubts about Tim Sherwood’s suitability for the manager’s role at White Hart Lane, but Daniel Levy has given the Englishman a chance to put his stamp on the team with a good contract. Spurs approach under Sherwood will rely on a lot of luck, and were it not for some inept defending by Southampton, Tottenham could have been tactically exposed. As things turned out, Spurs head into this fixture on the back of a morale-boosting win, and there will be a feel-good factor in the squad that should see them through against a stagnant manager-less West Brom.
West Ham United vs. Arsenal
Sam Allardyce used to be a manager who was adept at riling Arsene Wenger. However, Big Sam’s current West Ham team is a far cry from his Bolton team that were so difficult to beat. The Hammers have been fantastic at keeping clean sheets, but have struggled to score goals. In addition to the continued absence of Andy Carroll, wingers Matt Jarvis and Stewart Downing have been extremely poor. Plenty have been waiting for Arsenal’s campaign to stutter, but despite gaining only one point from consecutive fixtures against Manchester City and Chelsea, the Gunners are only separated from first by virtue of goal difference. With some high pressure games out of the way, expect Arsenal to play with the handbrake off, and secure an important win at a feisty Boleyn Ground.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool
Almost every fan of the Premier League has been looking forward to this fixture since the weekend. First versus third as well as the two best attacks in the division going up against each other. Alas, it will not be Luis Suarez vs. Sergio Aguero due to the Argentine star’s injury. Visiting the Etihad is the most daunting task in the league, as City have won all eight games at home, scoring 35 goals in the process while conceding only five. Manchester United, Tottenham and Arsenal have been brushed aside by a cumulative score of 16-4. Throw into the mix Liverpool’s incredibly shaky defence, and we have all the ingredients for another high-scoring game. Notwithstanding the cliche of it being a team game, the Reds best hope lies with Luis Suarez, who will be coming up against a defence that is extremely shaky. With the exception of Vincent Kompany, Liverpool’s Uruguayan talisman will be confident of winning one-on-one battles against the rest of City’s back four. With the forwards firing and defences shaky, the crucial battle will be between City’s midfield pair of Yaya Toure and Fernandinho and Liverpool’s duo of Joe Allen and Lucas Leiva. If the four midfielders play well it could be a tight game, but the greater likelihood is of another very open game at the Etihad, and I believe Liverpool just might be the first team to take a point at City’s fortress due to the brilliance of Suarez.
Hull City vs. Manchester United
This is a good test for Manchester United as David Moyes’ men visit Steve Bruce’s impressive side at the KC Stadium. Many expect United to claim maximum points from the holiday fixtures, but I believe such a prediction does a huge disservice to Hull City. Hull have been almost flawless at home except for a shock loss to Crystal Palace. United certainly have the creative advantage, however they won’t find it easy to bypass either the strong midfield pair of Tom Huddlestone and Jake Livermore, or one of the stingiest defences marshalled by a reborn Curtis Davies. Hull do struggle to score, but I believe their defensive nous will enable them to fight out a tough draw against the champions.
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace
Something has to give in a match between one of the worst home teams in the league and one of the worst travellers in the league. Paul Lambert’s counterattacking style has worked well on the road, but Villa Park hasn’t been kind to Aston Villa. With no creative presence in either midfield, it’s certainly a game the neutrals want to stay away from. Palace will be missing the recently rejuvenated Marouane Chamakh, and have no viable replacement upfront. Libor Kozak has been chipping in with goals as Christian Benteke continues his struggles, and the Polish forward might just lead Aston Villa to a scrappy win.
Cardiff City vs. Southampton
Cardiff are extremely strong at home, and are another team that are extremely difficult to beat in their own confines despite having obvious problems in attack. Southampton will hope to finally get a win after a run that has seen the Saints play five teams above them in the table in their last six fixtures. It seems like an eternity since Mauricio Pochettino’s men were being praised from all corners for their excellent start to the season. Pochettino will want the three points in this fixture, however I think Vincent Tan might have inadvertently ensured that there will be a raucous atmosphere in Cardiff to support Malky Mackay, which might just propel the Bluebirds to another shock victory at home.
Chelsea vs. Swansea
Jose Mourinho came in for some unfair criticism after the dour draw away to Arsenal. The truth of the matter is that Mourinho deals in only one currency - results. A point at the Emirates is no disgrace, and expect Mourinho to field a more attacking line-up against the Swans who haven’t had much success at Stamford Bridge in the Premier League. I expect a comfortable win for the Blues to set them up nicely for the crucial encounter against Liverpool on the weekend.
Everton vs. Sunderland
After gaining four points from two tough away games to Manchester United and Arsenal, it was vital for Everton to sustain their form in subsequent fixtures. Roberto Martinez has ensured that his men have stayed focused, as the Toffees wracked up back-to-back wins against Fulham and Swansea, without necessarily being at their best. Everton have a lot of options to make a difference, something Sunderland patently don’t have. I predicted the Mackems to pick up points and wins in recent matches, however despite Gus Poyet’s best efforts the confidence of the players must be slowly ebbing away. With Everton in the midst of one of their best seasons, I can see their superior firepower prevailing over a Sunderland defence without the services of the suspended Wes Brown.
Newcastle United vs. Stoke City
A match between two teams in great form. Newcastle played with verve and panache in disposing Crystal Palace at Selhurt Park on the weekend, as Yohan Cabaye dictated everything from the centre of the park. Stoke City have won two games on the bounce at home, and come into the game with the confidence of being in the top half of the table for the first time this season. However, I doubt Stoke have the mentality to sustain their form away from home during a crowded fixture period. I pick Newcastle to win a surprisingly entertaining encounter.
Norwich City vs. Fulham
The Canaries are now unbeaten in four games, as the pressure begins to ease on manager Chris Hughton. Leroy Fer and Gary Hooper have been the key components in Norwich’s recent revival, and will be relied upon to perform well in front of an expectant crowd at Carrow Road. Rene Meulensteen has had a mixed bag to start his reign as manager of Fulham. A dominant win over Aston Villa has been the highlight, while on another day the Cottagers certainly could have got more from tough games against Tottenham, Everton and Manchester City. I actually believe Meulensteen has got Fulham more focused and tactically compact, and they will be good enough to get a point at Norwich.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. West Bromwich Albion
There are many doubts about Tim Sherwood’s suitability for the manager’s role at White Hart Lane, but Daniel Levy has given the Englishman a chance to put his stamp on the team with a good contract. Spurs approach under Sherwood will rely on a lot of luck, and were it not for some inept defending by Southampton, Tottenham could have been tactically exposed. As things turned out, Spurs head into this fixture on the back of a morale-boosting win, and there will be a feel-good factor in the squad that should see them through against a stagnant manager-less West Brom.
West Ham United vs. Arsenal
Sam Allardyce used to be a manager who was adept at riling Arsene Wenger. However, Big Sam’s current West Ham team is a far cry from his Bolton team that were so difficult to beat. The Hammers have been fantastic at keeping clean sheets, but have struggled to score goals. In addition to the continued absence of Andy Carroll, wingers Matt Jarvis and Stewart Downing have been extremely poor. Plenty have been waiting for Arsenal’s campaign to stutter, but despite gaining only one point from consecutive fixtures against Manchester City and Chelsea, the Gunners are only separated from first by virtue of goal difference. With some high pressure games out of the way, expect Arsenal to play with the handbrake off, and secure an important win at a feisty Boleyn Ground.
Manchester City vs. Liverpool
Almost every fan of the Premier League has been looking forward to this fixture since the weekend. First versus third as well as the two best attacks in the division going up against each other. Alas, it will not be Luis Suarez vs. Sergio Aguero due to the Argentine star’s injury. Visiting the Etihad is the most daunting task in the league, as City have won all eight games at home, scoring 35 goals in the process while conceding only five. Manchester United, Tottenham and Arsenal have been brushed aside by a cumulative score of 16-4. Throw into the mix Liverpool’s incredibly shaky defence, and we have all the ingredients for another high-scoring game. Notwithstanding the cliche of it being a team game, the Reds best hope lies with Luis Suarez, who will be coming up against a defence that is extremely shaky. With the exception of Vincent Kompany, Liverpool’s Uruguayan talisman will be confident of winning one-on-one battles against the rest of City’s back four. With the forwards firing and defences shaky, the crucial battle will be between City’s midfield pair of Yaya Toure and Fernandinho and Liverpool’s duo of Joe Allen and Lucas Leiva. If the four midfielders play well it could be a tight game, but the greater likelihood is of another very open game at the Etihad, and I believe Liverpool just might be the first team to take a point at City’s fortress due to the brilliance of Suarez.
Saturday, December 21, 2013
Premier League Predictions Round 17
The most exciting period of football for Premier League fans gets underway with round 17, as all clubs play four games in a matter of ten days. The following are my predictions for the first set of fixtures.
Liverpool vs. Cardiff City
Liverpool come into the game on the back of their most impressive away result and the added bonus of Luis Suarez signing a new contract at Anfield. While the Reds appear to have their house very much in order, it is the complete opposite at Cardiff, where owner Vincent Tan has undermined manager Malky Mackay in every possible way leading up to the festive period. With Liverpool in tremendous form at Anfield, and Cardiff usually rotten away from home, I can't see anything other than a comfortable three points for the home team ahead of difficult away fixtures against Manchester City and Chelsea.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle United
Crystal Palace could consider themselves slightly unfortunate to not get a draw at Stamford Bridge last weekend, as the revival under Tony Pulis continues to gather steam. Newcastle could easily have lost at home to Southampton after a rotten second half performance last weekend. One gets the sense, that the Magpies are playing well due to the brilliance of some players rather than being tactically smart, and I can see Pulis leading the Eagles to another crucial win at home against a Newcastle team who might just have their eye off the ball in this fixture.
Fulham vs. Manchester City
Fulham were not as bad as the 4-1 scoreline in their defeat to Everton to Goodison Park last weekend might suggest. They made life difficult for the soaring Toffees in the second half, and were it not for some errors from Maarten Stekelenburg in goal, Fulham might have hung on for a crucial point. Their next opponents had all and sundry purring, after Manchester City's 6-3 win over Arsenal. However, I feel City are in for a battle against Rene Meulensteen's men, who have improved significantly at home under their manager. I think City might be surprised and the match will end up as a draw.
Manchester United vs. West Ham United
After losing Robin Van Persie to injury, the last thing David Moyes wanted was Wayne Rooney suffering an injury. Thankfully for the fans at Old Trafford, it's the abject Hammers who are visiting this weekend. Sam Allardyce might find some solace in the fact that Modibo Maiga finally scored in the League Cup victory over Spurs, and also because West Ham displayed great mental strength to come from behind and win at White Hart Lane. Despite their last two outings at the Theatre of Dreams resulting in losses, United should get their home form back on track with a comfortable win.
Stoke City vs. Aston Villa
A match between two very unpredictable teams, who have both mixed some extraordinary results with truly abject performances this season. After beating Chelsea at the Britannia last time out, Stoke should ideally be favourites, but that would discount Aston Villa's amazing propensity to score on the counter away from home. Stoke may play the better football (that's not a typo!), but Villa might sneak a win considering the Potters don't have the fastest set of defenders in the league.
Sunderland vs. Norwich City
I have backed Sunderland to get decent results in the last three rounds of predictions, and I think this is the fixture in which Gus Poyet's men will finally deliver. While many may say a run to the League Cup semis was the last thing the Mackems needed, I would argue that the quarterfinal victory over Chelsea will provide a tremendous fillip to the squad that should spur them on to close the gap in the relegation battle. Visitors don't come more generous than Norwich, and while Gary Hooper and Leroy Fer are both proving their quality with consistent performances for the Canaries, Sunderland will get the three points in a match they simply have to win.
West Bromwich Albion vs. Hull City
This match is certainly not going to be on the must see list for neutrals. Albion have struggled to score at home recently, while Hull have been terrible on the road. The Baggies certainly have the better attackers, but Steve Bruce knows how to set up a defence on the road, and with no manager at the Hawthorns after the sacking of Steve Clarke, I can see an attritional draw taking place.
Southampton vs. Tottenham Hotspur
Tim Sherwood starts his audition to be Tottenham's next manager with a tough assignment away to Mauricio Pochettino's Saints. Southampton could reasonably argue that they should have had six points from two tough matches against Manchester City and Newcastle. The problem is that in the past month or so they have had a bit too much 'reasonable arguing', and not enough winning. Spurs on the other hand are coming in to the fixture on the back of a chastening week at White Hart Lane, and while Sherwood might promise a more open style of play, I can see Southampton's pressing forwards make life hell for Tottenham's depleted defence, resulting in three points for the home team at St. Mary's.
Swansea City vs. Everton
This should actually be a tricky match on paper. However, the Swans are not playing with the swagger that has been associated with Michael Laudrup's men recently. The injury to Michu has been crucial, while losing Nathan Dyer to injury was another setback that Swansea could have done without. Everton have done extremely well against Swansea in the Premier League, and I expect Roberto Martinez's men to get the three points at their manager's former club and stay in the race for the Champions League spots.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea
Considering Chelsea's travails away from home, Arsene Wenger probably won't get a better opportunity to win against Jose Mourinho than Monday night's big game at the Emirates. It should follow that if Newcastle and Stoke can beat Chelsea at home, certainly a team of Arsenal's technical quality should dominate a home match against Blues. In stead, I am going to go with my gut and simply repeat what I said before the Gunners last match against City. While Arsenal have the superiority in midfield, Arsene Wenger will simply fail to rouse his troops for the big game against Chelsea, and Laurent Koscielny's absence will only further undermine the Frenchman's poor tactical acumen in comparison to his Portuguese rival. I see Chelsea getting the three points at the Emirates, even though Arsenal will probably play the 'better' football.
Liverpool vs. Cardiff City
Liverpool come into the game on the back of their most impressive away result and the added bonus of Luis Suarez signing a new contract at Anfield. While the Reds appear to have their house very much in order, it is the complete opposite at Cardiff, where owner Vincent Tan has undermined manager Malky Mackay in every possible way leading up to the festive period. With Liverpool in tremendous form at Anfield, and Cardiff usually rotten away from home, I can't see anything other than a comfortable three points for the home team ahead of difficult away fixtures against Manchester City and Chelsea.
Crystal Palace vs. Newcastle United
Crystal Palace could consider themselves slightly unfortunate to not get a draw at Stamford Bridge last weekend, as the revival under Tony Pulis continues to gather steam. Newcastle could easily have lost at home to Southampton after a rotten second half performance last weekend. One gets the sense, that the Magpies are playing well due to the brilliance of some players rather than being tactically smart, and I can see Pulis leading the Eagles to another crucial win at home against a Newcastle team who might just have their eye off the ball in this fixture.
Fulham vs. Manchester City
Fulham were not as bad as the 4-1 scoreline in their defeat to Everton to Goodison Park last weekend might suggest. They made life difficult for the soaring Toffees in the second half, and were it not for some errors from Maarten Stekelenburg in goal, Fulham might have hung on for a crucial point. Their next opponents had all and sundry purring, after Manchester City's 6-3 win over Arsenal. However, I feel City are in for a battle against Rene Meulensteen's men, who have improved significantly at home under their manager. I think City might be surprised and the match will end up as a draw.
Manchester United vs. West Ham United
After losing Robin Van Persie to injury, the last thing David Moyes wanted was Wayne Rooney suffering an injury. Thankfully for the fans at Old Trafford, it's the abject Hammers who are visiting this weekend. Sam Allardyce might find some solace in the fact that Modibo Maiga finally scored in the League Cup victory over Spurs, and also because West Ham displayed great mental strength to come from behind and win at White Hart Lane. Despite their last two outings at the Theatre of Dreams resulting in losses, United should get their home form back on track with a comfortable win.
Stoke City vs. Aston Villa
A match between two very unpredictable teams, who have both mixed some extraordinary results with truly abject performances this season. After beating Chelsea at the Britannia last time out, Stoke should ideally be favourites, but that would discount Aston Villa's amazing propensity to score on the counter away from home. Stoke may play the better football (that's not a typo!), but Villa might sneak a win considering the Potters don't have the fastest set of defenders in the league.
Sunderland vs. Norwich City
I have backed Sunderland to get decent results in the last three rounds of predictions, and I think this is the fixture in which Gus Poyet's men will finally deliver. While many may say a run to the League Cup semis was the last thing the Mackems needed, I would argue that the quarterfinal victory over Chelsea will provide a tremendous fillip to the squad that should spur them on to close the gap in the relegation battle. Visitors don't come more generous than Norwich, and while Gary Hooper and Leroy Fer are both proving their quality with consistent performances for the Canaries, Sunderland will get the three points in a match they simply have to win.
West Bromwich Albion vs. Hull City
This match is certainly not going to be on the must see list for neutrals. Albion have struggled to score at home recently, while Hull have been terrible on the road. The Baggies certainly have the better attackers, but Steve Bruce knows how to set up a defence on the road, and with no manager at the Hawthorns after the sacking of Steve Clarke, I can see an attritional draw taking place.
Southampton vs. Tottenham Hotspur
Tim Sherwood starts his audition to be Tottenham's next manager with a tough assignment away to Mauricio Pochettino's Saints. Southampton could reasonably argue that they should have had six points from two tough matches against Manchester City and Newcastle. The problem is that in the past month or so they have had a bit too much 'reasonable arguing', and not enough winning. Spurs on the other hand are coming in to the fixture on the back of a chastening week at White Hart Lane, and while Sherwood might promise a more open style of play, I can see Southampton's pressing forwards make life hell for Tottenham's depleted defence, resulting in three points for the home team at St. Mary's.
Swansea City vs. Everton
This should actually be a tricky match on paper. However, the Swans are not playing with the swagger that has been associated with Michael Laudrup's men recently. The injury to Michu has been crucial, while losing Nathan Dyer to injury was another setback that Swansea could have done without. Everton have done extremely well against Swansea in the Premier League, and I expect Roberto Martinez's men to get the three points at their manager's former club and stay in the race for the Champions League spots.
Arsenal vs. Chelsea
Considering Chelsea's travails away from home, Arsene Wenger probably won't get a better opportunity to win against Jose Mourinho than Monday night's big game at the Emirates. It should follow that if Newcastle and Stoke can beat Chelsea at home, certainly a team of Arsenal's technical quality should dominate a home match against Blues. In stead, I am going to go with my gut and simply repeat what I said before the Gunners last match against City. While Arsenal have the superiority in midfield, Arsene Wenger will simply fail to rouse his troops for the big game against Chelsea, and Laurent Koscielny's absence will only further undermine the Frenchman's poor tactical acumen in comparison to his Portuguese rival. I see Chelsea getting the three points at the Emirates, even though Arsenal will probably play the 'better' football.
Saturday, December 14, 2013
Premier League Predictions Round 16
As we enter a defining period of the season, I preview the matches in round 16 of the Barclays Premier League.
Manchester City vs. Arsenal
Manchester City and Arsenal share the distinction of being the team all group winners want to avoid in Monday's Champions League draw, but domestic matters take precedence on Saturday, as fourth takes on first in a mouthwatering clash to begin the Premier League weekend.
City come into the game having the best home record in the league with an extra layer of confidence garnered on the back of a tremendous comeback victory away at Bayern Munich on Tuesday. Sergio Aguero and Alvaro Negredo have developed a fantastic understanding together and have deservedly earned their reputation as the most feared strike duo in the league, especially at the Etihad. However, Manuel Pellegrini will take a huge risk starting the two in tandem against Arsenal's midfield strength. With David Silva also back in the frame after recovering from injury, City are likely to start Aguero on his own up front, while James Milner's efficiency and work rate can also make a significant difference against Arsenal's possession oriented midfielders.
Arsenal could have come into the fixture with an eight-point lead over City and seven clear of the chasing pack, but Everton denied Arsene Wenger's men a victory at the Emirates last weekend, resulting in the Gunners come into the game with a fair amount of pressure. Many critics have waited to label Arsenal as title favourites pending their results in this fixture and next weekend's home game against Chelsea. If Arsenal can navigate these two matches without defeat, it could set the tone for their season. Wenger will rely on his fantastic variety of midfielders to maintain their impressive form, while the manager has also hinted at possibly including Theo Walcott from the start, though such a move could hinder Arsenal's midfield fluency.
Prediction: If this match was played on paper, I would give the edge to Arsenal because they have the superior midfield. However, Arsene Wenger has history in making strategic blunders in big games, such as playing Aaron Ramsey on the right at Old Trafford only a month ago. Furthermore, questions about Arsenal's mental strength will only increase after their close escape against Napoli in midweek, and with City buoyant and confident at home, I see Pellegrini getting a close yet significant victory over Wenger.
Cardiff City vs. West Bromwich Albion
I am tempted to call this the Peter Odemwingie derby, but a more accurate description would be a matchup between two of the most off-form teams in the league. Despite their current position in the league table, I believe West Brom will be fine come the end of the season, as their array of attacking talent will ensure goals and subsequently enough wins to stay well clear of the relegation zone. The Bluebirds on the other hand have a lot to worry about, notwithstanding the terrible off-field shenanigans surrounding the club. Cardiff have at least been extremely difficult to beat at home, and as dangerous as the Baggies can be, Malky Mackay has to inspire the same spirit that has seen some great results at the Cardiff City Stadium against the bigger clubs in the league.
Prediction: I expect a very tense game with few clearcut opportunities resulting in a stalemate.
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace
A month ago if someone told me that one team was coming into this fixture on the back of two consecutive victories, and the other a careless defeat, I would talk about Jose Mourinho's Chelsea winning with metronomic precision, and Crystal Palace spiralling towards the relegation trapdoor. In stead the appointment of Tony Pulis has galvanized the Eagles, who have won two consecutive games against West Ham and Cardiff. Chelsea on the other hand have conceded six goals in their last two league fixtures, and Mourinho has been left frustrated by his defence. Much has been said about Chelsea's strikers, but when your midfielders have been chipping in with a regular supply of goals, its clear that scoring hasn't been the issue. It's the 17 goals conceded that is uncharacteristic of a defence managed by Mourinho. The Blues should not have too many issues with Crystal Palace's offence despite improved performances by Cameron Jerome, Marouane Chamakh and Barry Bannan under Pulis.
Prediction: I predicted Palace's two victories at home to kickstart Pulis' reign, but a visit to Stamford Bridge is another proposition altogether. Chelsea to win comfortably and set up their crucial visit to the Emirates Stadium next week.
Everton vs. Fulham
Roberto Martinez has made Everton one of the most attractive teams to watch in the league this season. The increased emphasis on ball retention in midfield has made the Toffees easy on the eye, and the continuous use of young exciting talent such as Ross Barkley, Romelu Lukaku and Gerard Deulofeu only further adds to the new manager's credence. Some fans are suggesting Bryan Oviedo is even better than Leighton Baines, and while I think it is too soon to make that judgement the Costa Rican international is another player who has got Goodison Park buzzing.
Fulham are clearly showing signs of improvement under Rene Meulensteen, following up an unfortunate defeat against Spurs with a deserved and dominant victory over Aston Villa at Craven Cottage. The whole team is playing with greater tenacity, and while a lot has been said about the average age of the Fulham squad, it at least ensures the Cottagers have players of experience who have the tactical discipline required to adjust to Meulensteen's new ideas and plans. Most importantly, Dimitar Berbatov is finally showing signs of being in peak form for Fulham this season
Prediction: Everton simply don't lose at Goodison Park, and have the greater firepower that should ideally be enough to overcome Fulham. However, I have the sneaky feeling that after picking four points from back-to-back away trips to Manchester United and Arsenal, Everton might just be a little complacent on returning home, resulting in two dropped points against a dogged Fulham defence.
Newcastle United vs. Southampton
Outside of the two top six fixtures that bookend the weekend, this matchup poses the greatest intrigue. Newcastle come into the fixture on the back of five wins out of six, and most impressively their first win at Old Trafford in 41 years last weekend. Southampton put in an equally impressive against the other half of Manchester, and could feel hard done by for getting only the point. It's going to be an interesting clash between two teams who have become extremely comfortable in clearly defined systems, with a nice sprinkling of individual talent in Yohan Cabaye, Loic Remy, Dani Osvaldo, Rickie Lambert and others to make this one of the must watch matches of the weekend.
Prediction: Alan Pardew has been getting a lot of credit for his tactical flexibility against different opponents, however I believe Newcastle don't have the personnel to necessarily cope with Mauricio Pochettino's pressing game. After a run of four games without a win, I believe Southampton are due a victory, and this one of those funny fixtures, where I believe the Saints will end their losing streak away from home at the expense of Newcastle's winning streak with an exciting win.
West Ham United vs. Sunderland
This game has all the ingredients of being a stinker considering the form that both teams are in. West Ham simply don't know where the next goal is going to come from, while Sunderland simply don't know how to stop conceding goals. Another one of those tense fixtures that become a feature in the latter half of the season as the relegation picture becomes clearer. It looks like the classic game that will be decided by either a moment of brilliance or a defensive error.
Prediction: Sunderland couldn't have realistically expected anything from successive games against Chelsea and Tottenham, but Gus Poyet's men are already cut adrift and badly need a win. Sam Allardyce is an expert at winning relegation six-pointers, however there isn't enough attacking quality for either side to get the win in this game. I am going for a draw.
Hull City vs. Stoke City
A game between two former students of Sir Alex Ferguson, as Steve Bruce's HullTigers City take on Mark Hughes' Stoke City. Hull have played some decent football, and Tom Huddlestone has enjoyed spraying his passes from the centre of the park, now that he is away from the spotlight at Spurs. In what must surely rank as this season's Christmas Miracle, even Danny Graham finally ended his goal drought by scoring away to Swansea.
While Bruce has been getting a lot of positive press, Mark Hughes' men have quietly snuck up to just a point behind Hull. Last weekend's shock win against Chelsea should be the ideal platform for the Potters to kickstart Hughes' tenure at Stoke. Stephen Ireland has shown glimpses of his class, and the team certainly does look more potent up front when the Irish maverick makes his smart runs into the box. Whether Stoke are genuinely more attacking is still questionable, but as long as the players continue to perform, Hughes will be safe from scrutiny.
Prediction: Hull have been magnificent at the KC Stadium, while Stoke have generally been poor away from home. Still, I expect Stoke to enter this game with confidence and leave with a well-earned point.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United
I remember the corresponding game from last season, when United came back to win 3-2 after Aston Villa played some of their best football under Paul Lambert in the first half. Unfortunately despite a positive pre-season, Villa have regressed to playing a very unimaginative style of football. They have managed to secure some impressive results away from home due to their blistering pace on the counter, but their home form has been atrocious, as they simply haven't managed to dictate play from midfield.
Manchester United have their own midfield problems, and to add to David Moyes' woes, Robin Van Persie is now ruled out for a month. United haven't won for a month in the league now, and a visit to one of their favourite venues could be the ideal tonic to kickstart an easy Christmas schedule. The Red Devils have no option but to capitalize on their run of fixtures starting this weekend, or they are going to be involved in an uphill struggle to qualify for the Champions League.
Verdict: Aston Villa have been extremely poor at home other than a shock win over Man City. Even Tom Cleverly and Phil Jones should manage to exercise control against Villa's midfield, while Wayne Rooney's return to the starting eleven should compensate for RVP's absence at least in this match, as United get the much needed win.
Norwich City vs. Swansea City
Rather surprisingly, Norwich come into this fixture with better form than Swansea. Chris Hughton's men won an invaluable three points at the Hawthorns, as Leroy Fer put in another outstanding display last weekend. With Gary Hooper also finding his feet, Norwich are developing some breathing space, especially on the basis of some good form at Carrow Road.
Swansea qualifying for the last 32 of the Europa League is an achievement that merits more attention, but the fact that they didn't win any of their last four matches in the group, meant that their progress was unfortunately overlooked. Getting four points from games against Newcastle and Hull without a striker was a decent haul for the Swans, but they might struggle on their travels until Michu and Bony return to the playing eleven.
Prediction: I think Norwich will maintain their good form at Carrow Road. Throw into the mix that the Canaries have become a bogey team for the Swans, and I can't see past a home victory.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool
Sixth versus second in a battle between two managers who worked under Jose Mourinho. Since the 6-0 shellacking at the hands of Manchester City, Andre Villas-Boas' team have responded by taking seven points from nine, including two consecutive wins at Fulham and Sunderland coming back from a goal behind. While the win at Fulham owed a lot to speculative shots outside the box in a game where they were completely outplayed, the performance at the Stadium of Light was deserving of a more convincing scoreline. Jermain Defoe should have had a hat rick, Aaron Lennon excelled on the right and the duo of Lewis Holtby and Moussa Dembele provided incision from the centre of the park for the first time in a while for Spurs. Whether they consistently create chances against opponents of higher calibre is the million dollar question.
Only Manchester City have scored more goals than Liverpool, who managed nine in their last two matches on the back of Luis Suarez's brilliance. Liverpool haven't felt the adverse effects of Daniel Sturridge's absence at Anfield, but away from home it's a different story. While the attack has been firing, the defence is a major source of concern for Brendan Rodgers. There has been too much changing and chopping especially amongst the centre backs, which has resulted in the concession of some horribly soft goals. To compound the difficulties for Liverpool, captain Steven Gerrard has also been ruled out for a month. In theory, a partnership of Joe Allen and Lucas Leiva provides a solid base for the midfield, but relying on Jordan Henderson to provide the attacking thrust from the centre is simply asking too much of the Englishman, who for my money is still unproven at Liverpool despite playing every minute of Liverpool's season so far. It may sound like a broken record, but it seems apparent that for Liverpool to win this match, Suarez will have to perform some magic again.
Prediction: Tottenham have a great record against Liverpool at White Hart Lane, and should manage to control the midfield as they have the better technicians. Whether Spurs will create clear cut opportunities is questionable and with Spurs not having the fastest centre backs in the league, Philippe Coutinho and Luis Suarez will fancy their chances of creating and scoring goals. I am going out on a limb by suggesting a smash and grab win for Liverpool.
Manchester City vs. Arsenal
Manchester City and Arsenal share the distinction of being the team all group winners want to avoid in Monday's Champions League draw, but domestic matters take precedence on Saturday, as fourth takes on first in a mouthwatering clash to begin the Premier League weekend.
City come into the game having the best home record in the league with an extra layer of confidence garnered on the back of a tremendous comeback victory away at Bayern Munich on Tuesday. Sergio Aguero and Alvaro Negredo have developed a fantastic understanding together and have deservedly earned their reputation as the most feared strike duo in the league, especially at the Etihad. However, Manuel Pellegrini will take a huge risk starting the two in tandem against Arsenal's midfield strength. With David Silva also back in the frame after recovering from injury, City are likely to start Aguero on his own up front, while James Milner's efficiency and work rate can also make a significant difference against Arsenal's possession oriented midfielders.
Arsenal could have come into the fixture with an eight-point lead over City and seven clear of the chasing pack, but Everton denied Arsene Wenger's men a victory at the Emirates last weekend, resulting in the Gunners come into the game with a fair amount of pressure. Many critics have waited to label Arsenal as title favourites pending their results in this fixture and next weekend's home game against Chelsea. If Arsenal can navigate these two matches without defeat, it could set the tone for their season. Wenger will rely on his fantastic variety of midfielders to maintain their impressive form, while the manager has also hinted at possibly including Theo Walcott from the start, though such a move could hinder Arsenal's midfield fluency.
Prediction: If this match was played on paper, I would give the edge to Arsenal because they have the superior midfield. However, Arsene Wenger has history in making strategic blunders in big games, such as playing Aaron Ramsey on the right at Old Trafford only a month ago. Furthermore, questions about Arsenal's mental strength will only increase after their close escape against Napoli in midweek, and with City buoyant and confident at home, I see Pellegrini getting a close yet significant victory over Wenger.
Cardiff City vs. West Bromwich Albion
I am tempted to call this the Peter Odemwingie derby, but a more accurate description would be a matchup between two of the most off-form teams in the league. Despite their current position in the league table, I believe West Brom will be fine come the end of the season, as their array of attacking talent will ensure goals and subsequently enough wins to stay well clear of the relegation zone. The Bluebirds on the other hand have a lot to worry about, notwithstanding the terrible off-field shenanigans surrounding the club. Cardiff have at least been extremely difficult to beat at home, and as dangerous as the Baggies can be, Malky Mackay has to inspire the same spirit that has seen some great results at the Cardiff City Stadium against the bigger clubs in the league.
Prediction: I expect a very tense game with few clearcut opportunities resulting in a stalemate.
Chelsea vs. Crystal Palace
A month ago if someone told me that one team was coming into this fixture on the back of two consecutive victories, and the other a careless defeat, I would talk about Jose Mourinho's Chelsea winning with metronomic precision, and Crystal Palace spiralling towards the relegation trapdoor. In stead the appointment of Tony Pulis has galvanized the Eagles, who have won two consecutive games against West Ham and Cardiff. Chelsea on the other hand have conceded six goals in their last two league fixtures, and Mourinho has been left frustrated by his defence. Much has been said about Chelsea's strikers, but when your midfielders have been chipping in with a regular supply of goals, its clear that scoring hasn't been the issue. It's the 17 goals conceded that is uncharacteristic of a defence managed by Mourinho. The Blues should not have too many issues with Crystal Palace's offence despite improved performances by Cameron Jerome, Marouane Chamakh and Barry Bannan under Pulis.
Prediction: I predicted Palace's two victories at home to kickstart Pulis' reign, but a visit to Stamford Bridge is another proposition altogether. Chelsea to win comfortably and set up their crucial visit to the Emirates Stadium next week.
Everton vs. Fulham
Roberto Martinez has made Everton one of the most attractive teams to watch in the league this season. The increased emphasis on ball retention in midfield has made the Toffees easy on the eye, and the continuous use of young exciting talent such as Ross Barkley, Romelu Lukaku and Gerard Deulofeu only further adds to the new manager's credence. Some fans are suggesting Bryan Oviedo is even better than Leighton Baines, and while I think it is too soon to make that judgement the Costa Rican international is another player who has got Goodison Park buzzing.
Fulham are clearly showing signs of improvement under Rene Meulensteen, following up an unfortunate defeat against Spurs with a deserved and dominant victory over Aston Villa at Craven Cottage. The whole team is playing with greater tenacity, and while a lot has been said about the average age of the Fulham squad, it at least ensures the Cottagers have players of experience who have the tactical discipline required to adjust to Meulensteen's new ideas and plans. Most importantly, Dimitar Berbatov is finally showing signs of being in peak form for Fulham this season
Prediction: Everton simply don't lose at Goodison Park, and have the greater firepower that should ideally be enough to overcome Fulham. However, I have the sneaky feeling that after picking four points from back-to-back away trips to Manchester United and Arsenal, Everton might just be a little complacent on returning home, resulting in two dropped points against a dogged Fulham defence.
Newcastle United vs. Southampton
Outside of the two top six fixtures that bookend the weekend, this matchup poses the greatest intrigue. Newcastle come into the fixture on the back of five wins out of six, and most impressively their first win at Old Trafford in 41 years last weekend. Southampton put in an equally impressive against the other half of Manchester, and could feel hard done by for getting only the point. It's going to be an interesting clash between two teams who have become extremely comfortable in clearly defined systems, with a nice sprinkling of individual talent in Yohan Cabaye, Loic Remy, Dani Osvaldo, Rickie Lambert and others to make this one of the must watch matches of the weekend.
Prediction: Alan Pardew has been getting a lot of credit for his tactical flexibility against different opponents, however I believe Newcastle don't have the personnel to necessarily cope with Mauricio Pochettino's pressing game. After a run of four games without a win, I believe Southampton are due a victory, and this one of those funny fixtures, where I believe the Saints will end their losing streak away from home at the expense of Newcastle's winning streak with an exciting win.
West Ham United vs. Sunderland
This game has all the ingredients of being a stinker considering the form that both teams are in. West Ham simply don't know where the next goal is going to come from, while Sunderland simply don't know how to stop conceding goals. Another one of those tense fixtures that become a feature in the latter half of the season as the relegation picture becomes clearer. It looks like the classic game that will be decided by either a moment of brilliance or a defensive error.
Prediction: Sunderland couldn't have realistically expected anything from successive games against Chelsea and Tottenham, but Gus Poyet's men are already cut adrift and badly need a win. Sam Allardyce is an expert at winning relegation six-pointers, however there isn't enough attacking quality for either side to get the win in this game. I am going for a draw.
Hull City vs. Stoke City
A game between two former students of Sir Alex Ferguson, as Steve Bruce's Hull
While Bruce has been getting a lot of positive press, Mark Hughes' men have quietly snuck up to just a point behind Hull. Last weekend's shock win against Chelsea should be the ideal platform for the Potters to kickstart Hughes' tenure at Stoke. Stephen Ireland has shown glimpses of his class, and the team certainly does look more potent up front when the Irish maverick makes his smart runs into the box. Whether Stoke are genuinely more attacking is still questionable, but as long as the players continue to perform, Hughes will be safe from scrutiny.
Prediction: Hull have been magnificent at the KC Stadium, while Stoke have generally been poor away from home. Still, I expect Stoke to enter this game with confidence and leave with a well-earned point.
Aston Villa vs. Manchester United
I remember the corresponding game from last season, when United came back to win 3-2 after Aston Villa played some of their best football under Paul Lambert in the first half. Unfortunately despite a positive pre-season, Villa have regressed to playing a very unimaginative style of football. They have managed to secure some impressive results away from home due to their blistering pace on the counter, but their home form has been atrocious, as they simply haven't managed to dictate play from midfield.
Manchester United have their own midfield problems, and to add to David Moyes' woes, Robin Van Persie is now ruled out for a month. United haven't won for a month in the league now, and a visit to one of their favourite venues could be the ideal tonic to kickstart an easy Christmas schedule. The Red Devils have no option but to capitalize on their run of fixtures starting this weekend, or they are going to be involved in an uphill struggle to qualify for the Champions League.
Verdict: Aston Villa have been extremely poor at home other than a shock win over Man City. Even Tom Cleverly and Phil Jones should manage to exercise control against Villa's midfield, while Wayne Rooney's return to the starting eleven should compensate for RVP's absence at least in this match, as United get the much needed win.
Norwich City vs. Swansea City
Rather surprisingly, Norwich come into this fixture with better form than Swansea. Chris Hughton's men won an invaluable three points at the Hawthorns, as Leroy Fer put in another outstanding display last weekend. With Gary Hooper also finding his feet, Norwich are developing some breathing space, especially on the basis of some good form at Carrow Road.
Swansea qualifying for the last 32 of the Europa League is an achievement that merits more attention, but the fact that they didn't win any of their last four matches in the group, meant that their progress was unfortunately overlooked. Getting four points from games against Newcastle and Hull without a striker was a decent haul for the Swans, but they might struggle on their travels until Michu and Bony return to the playing eleven.
Prediction: I think Norwich will maintain their good form at Carrow Road. Throw into the mix that the Canaries have become a bogey team for the Swans, and I can't see past a home victory.
Tottenham Hotspur vs. Liverpool
Sixth versus second in a battle between two managers who worked under Jose Mourinho. Since the 6-0 shellacking at the hands of Manchester City, Andre Villas-Boas' team have responded by taking seven points from nine, including two consecutive wins at Fulham and Sunderland coming back from a goal behind. While the win at Fulham owed a lot to speculative shots outside the box in a game where they were completely outplayed, the performance at the Stadium of Light was deserving of a more convincing scoreline. Jermain Defoe should have had a hat rick, Aaron Lennon excelled on the right and the duo of Lewis Holtby and Moussa Dembele provided incision from the centre of the park for the first time in a while for Spurs. Whether they consistently create chances against opponents of higher calibre is the million dollar question.
Only Manchester City have scored more goals than Liverpool, who managed nine in their last two matches on the back of Luis Suarez's brilliance. Liverpool haven't felt the adverse effects of Daniel Sturridge's absence at Anfield, but away from home it's a different story. While the attack has been firing, the defence is a major source of concern for Brendan Rodgers. There has been too much changing and chopping especially amongst the centre backs, which has resulted in the concession of some horribly soft goals. To compound the difficulties for Liverpool, captain Steven Gerrard has also been ruled out for a month. In theory, a partnership of Joe Allen and Lucas Leiva provides a solid base for the midfield, but relying on Jordan Henderson to provide the attacking thrust from the centre is simply asking too much of the Englishman, who for my money is still unproven at Liverpool despite playing every minute of Liverpool's season so far. It may sound like a broken record, but it seems apparent that for Liverpool to win this match, Suarez will have to perform some magic again.
Prediction: Tottenham have a great record against Liverpool at White Hart Lane, and should manage to control the midfield as they have the better technicians. Whether Spurs will create clear cut opportunities is questionable and with Spurs not having the fastest centre backs in the league, Philippe Coutinho and Luis Suarez will fancy their chances of creating and scoring goals. I am going out on a limb by suggesting a smash and grab win for Liverpool.
Saturday, December 7, 2013
Premier League Predictions Round 15
After an exciting midweek round of Premier League fixtures filled with goals, the next round of weekend fixtures are already upon us. My predictions below.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle United
The pressure continues to mount for David Moyes after Everton beat Manchester United at Old Trafford on Roberto Martinez's first visit to the theatre of dreams as manager of the Toffees. To add to Moyes' woes, Wayne Rooney is suspended, and nobody has a clue as to when Robin Van Persie will be back in the side.
Newcastle actually played pretty well in their defeat at Swansea, and were it not for Michel Vorm, Loic Remy could even have had a hat rick. It's been a while since the Toon Army have celebrated in Manchester, but if Alan Pardew can inspire some belief in his troops, there is no reason why Yohan Cabaye and Cheick Tiote can't be the latest midfield pair to dominate the Red Devil's weak centre.
Prediction: A game with a history of goals and excitement, I am not so certain we are going to get something very exciting this time around. Lunchtime kickoffs don't generally bring the best out of teams, and in front of another tense Old Trafford crowd, I see Newcastle nicking a point.
Crystal Palace vs. Cardiff City
Crystal Palace got the expected win in Tony Pulis' first home game in charge at Selhurst Park, despite barely managing to string two passes together in their encounter against West Ham. Nonetheless, there was enough defensive discipline on display, and if Barry Bannan can continue to cross well with his cultured left foot, Marouane Chamakh will always have a chance to score. The less said about Cardiff's stalemate against Stoke the better.
Prediction: These were the kind of games that Pulis mastered when managing Stoke, and I see the Eagles winning their second game in succession.
Liverpool vs. West Ham United
There have been enough superlatives written about Luis Suarez's phenomenal display against Norwich. It's not often that one scores four goals in one match, much less four goals of different yet exceptional quality. Liverpool will be relying on their talisman to lead them to another three points, which are an absolute must in light of the Reds upcoming visits to the Etihad, Stamford Bridge and White Hart Lane.
West Ham are in the midst of a horrible run, and are playing some truly dreadful football. If it wasn't for a win against the truly abject Fulham last weekend, the Hammers would be in the relegation zone and Sam Allardyce would certainly be under greater scrutiny.
Prediction: While West Ham have previous in frustrating Liverpool at Anfield, I just don't see it happening this time around. There may still be tactical flaws in Brendan Rodgers planning, but he has brought back goals to Anfield, and I think Liverpool will score a few more at home in this fixture.
Southampton vs. Manchester City
The Saints were supposed to recover at home against Aston Villa after two tough losses on the road to Arsenal and Chelsea. In stead what transpired was Southampton's worst defensive display of the season in a shock defeat. Mauricio Pochettino should look to make some changes just to freshen up things and ensure that his starting eleven all remain grounded.
Manchester City put in one of their best away displays of the season in the 3-2 win at the Hawthorns. If it wasn't for the Citizens coasting in the last ten minutes the scoreline would have reflected the true dominance of City. Samir Nasri, Yaya Toure and Sergio Aguero all continued their sublime form, and if they can follow up at St. Mary's, then City can justifiably claim to banish their away day blues.
Prediction: It was Southampton's 3-1 win in this fixture last year that marked the arrival of Pochettino's pressing game in the Premier League. Both managers have a clearly defined European style, and this is the game where I take my risk this week and suggest a close victory for the Saints, as City's midfield two might struggle against Southampton's incessant pressing high up the pitch.
Stoke City vs. Chelsea
Mark Hughes promised a lot in the summer upon taking charge of Stoke, however the style hasn't really improved, and the results are hardly a ringing endorsement of his appointment. The midweek draw against Cardiff was a terrible advert for the Premier League, and just where the Potters next goal is coming from is anyone's guess.
After some shaky performances on the road to begin the season, Chelsea have won two successive games away to West Ham and Sunderland. One may argue that Jose Mourinho's men weren't entirely convincing at the Stadium of Light, but I think it demonstrated the manager's winning mentality and ability to find solutions even in the toughest circumstances.
Prediction: In previous years this would be an extremely difficult road trip, but on current form can't see anything other than a Chelsea victory, especially since Eden Hazard and Juan Mata are in such great form.
West Bromwich Albion vs. Norwich City
This is not necessarily a game that will set the pulses racing for the neutral. However, I really enjoy watching West Brom under Steve Clarke, and I find them one of the most tactically balanced teams with a good mix of creative flair and direct efficiency. Norwich on the other hand have been one of the worst teams away from home this season, but at least the Canaries defence won't be coming up against Luis Suarez this season.
Prediction: It could be hard for West Brom to pick themselves up after putting in a lot of effort against City in their midweek home game, but Clarke will not want any points dropped against a visiting Norwich, and the Baggies should get the three points.
Sunderland vs. Tottenham Hotspur
That Sunderland managed to score three goals against Chelsea despite losing provides further evidence that Gus Poyet has added belief to the Sunderland players in addition to a general improvement in the standard of the Mackems performances.
The noises coming from the Spurs camp suggest that Andre Villas-Boas and the playing squad believe their comeback victory against Fulham at Craven Cottage might just be a turning point. We'll find out whether that's the case in the next few weeks, but the truth is that two long range goals hardly prove that Spurs have solved their scoring problems.
Prediction: I believe Tottenham were genuinely lucky to get all three points against Fulham, while conversely Sunderland probably should have garnered more points across the games that Poyet has managed. I think luck will even out in this game, and the home team will finally get their rewards in a crucial victory.
Fulham vs. Aston Villa
Fulham put in their best overall performance of the season against Tottenham, and while the close defeat must have hurt, Rene Meulensteen can take plenty of encouragement from his players creative flair and defensive discipline. The key question is whether the Cottagers can now perform at the same level consistently and most importantly against teams in the lower half of the table.
Aston Villa have snuck up to tenth in the table without setting the league on fire. I actually thought Paul Lambert's charges played their best football in August and September, but results weren't matching performances. They have been playing with less flair recently, but have been unbeaten for five games now. Most concerning for Villains fans however is that Christian Benteke has gone completely off the boil, and they will hope that Labor Kozak maintains his scoring form.
Prediction: Aston Villa haven't been playing well recently, and I think this is the game where they will not be able to escape with a result, as Meulensteen inspires his troops to a much-needed victory.
Arsenal vs. Everton
This is easily the game of the round, as two teams with the most impressive midfields seen in the Premier League this season come up against each other. After an impressive away victory at Cardiff, Arsenal followed it up with a performance of complete domination against Hull City, as the Gunners made four changes without disrupting the flow of the team one iota.
Everton are coming into the game on the back of their biggest victory of the season away to Manchester United. Fans of the Toffees have fallen in love with the style and panache displayed under new manager Roberto Martinez, and for many their victory at Old Trafford wasn't surprising as Everton have recorded the most midfield possession in the league this season. Romelu Lukaku, Ross Barkley as well as Gerard Deulofeu and Bryan Oviedo have been grabbing the headlines, but two absolutely crucial players that have kept things ticking for Everton have been Gareth Barry and James McCarthy. Martinez will rely on the duo if Everton are to get another impressive away result.
Prediction: As impressive as Everton's win at Old Trafford was, dominating against Arsenal's midfield at the Emirates is another matter altogether. It will be a game that will be easy on the eye for the neutral, but it's the Gunners fans who will be celebrating another three points at the top of the table.
Swansea City vs. Hull City
Swansea got a crucial victory against Newcastle when not many expected them to do so. Despite the 3-0 scoreline, Michel Vorm played a crucial role with some excellent saves. Nonetheless, the fact that Michael Laudrup's men displayed attacking variety despite the absence of Michu and Wilfried Bony must be especially encouraging.
After the high of victory over Liverpool, Steve Bruce's men couldn't live with Arsenal's midfield at the Emirates. However, Hull will expect to lose some matches against the top teams, but do possess the defensive discipline to frustrate teams like Swansea who can suffer from a lack of directness a times.
Prediction: I except the Swans to dominate possession at home, but Hull will be extremely organized with two banks of four, and I can see Bruce's men can escape with a point.
Manchester United vs. Newcastle United
The pressure continues to mount for David Moyes after Everton beat Manchester United at Old Trafford on Roberto Martinez's first visit to the theatre of dreams as manager of the Toffees. To add to Moyes' woes, Wayne Rooney is suspended, and nobody has a clue as to when Robin Van Persie will be back in the side.
Newcastle actually played pretty well in their defeat at Swansea, and were it not for Michel Vorm, Loic Remy could even have had a hat rick. It's been a while since the Toon Army have celebrated in Manchester, but if Alan Pardew can inspire some belief in his troops, there is no reason why Yohan Cabaye and Cheick Tiote can't be the latest midfield pair to dominate the Red Devil's weak centre.
Prediction: A game with a history of goals and excitement, I am not so certain we are going to get something very exciting this time around. Lunchtime kickoffs don't generally bring the best out of teams, and in front of another tense Old Trafford crowd, I see Newcastle nicking a point.
Crystal Palace vs. Cardiff City
Crystal Palace got the expected win in Tony Pulis' first home game in charge at Selhurst Park, despite barely managing to string two passes together in their encounter against West Ham. Nonetheless, there was enough defensive discipline on display, and if Barry Bannan can continue to cross well with his cultured left foot, Marouane Chamakh will always have a chance to score. The less said about Cardiff's stalemate against Stoke the better.
Prediction: These were the kind of games that Pulis mastered when managing Stoke, and I see the Eagles winning their second game in succession.
Liverpool vs. West Ham United
There have been enough superlatives written about Luis Suarez's phenomenal display against Norwich. It's not often that one scores four goals in one match, much less four goals of different yet exceptional quality. Liverpool will be relying on their talisman to lead them to another three points, which are an absolute must in light of the Reds upcoming visits to the Etihad, Stamford Bridge and White Hart Lane.
West Ham are in the midst of a horrible run, and are playing some truly dreadful football. If it wasn't for a win against the truly abject Fulham last weekend, the Hammers would be in the relegation zone and Sam Allardyce would certainly be under greater scrutiny.
Prediction: While West Ham have previous in frustrating Liverpool at Anfield, I just don't see it happening this time around. There may still be tactical flaws in Brendan Rodgers planning, but he has brought back goals to Anfield, and I think Liverpool will score a few more at home in this fixture.
Southampton vs. Manchester City
The Saints were supposed to recover at home against Aston Villa after two tough losses on the road to Arsenal and Chelsea. In stead what transpired was Southampton's worst defensive display of the season in a shock defeat. Mauricio Pochettino should look to make some changes just to freshen up things and ensure that his starting eleven all remain grounded.
Manchester City put in one of their best away displays of the season in the 3-2 win at the Hawthorns. If it wasn't for the Citizens coasting in the last ten minutes the scoreline would have reflected the true dominance of City. Samir Nasri, Yaya Toure and Sergio Aguero all continued their sublime form, and if they can follow up at St. Mary's, then City can justifiably claim to banish their away day blues.
Prediction: It was Southampton's 3-1 win in this fixture last year that marked the arrival of Pochettino's pressing game in the Premier League. Both managers have a clearly defined European style, and this is the game where I take my risk this week and suggest a close victory for the Saints, as City's midfield two might struggle against Southampton's incessant pressing high up the pitch.
Stoke City vs. Chelsea
Mark Hughes promised a lot in the summer upon taking charge of Stoke, however the style hasn't really improved, and the results are hardly a ringing endorsement of his appointment. The midweek draw against Cardiff was a terrible advert for the Premier League, and just where the Potters next goal is coming from is anyone's guess.
After some shaky performances on the road to begin the season, Chelsea have won two successive games away to West Ham and Sunderland. One may argue that Jose Mourinho's men weren't entirely convincing at the Stadium of Light, but I think it demonstrated the manager's winning mentality and ability to find solutions even in the toughest circumstances.
Prediction: In previous years this would be an extremely difficult road trip, but on current form can't see anything other than a Chelsea victory, especially since Eden Hazard and Juan Mata are in such great form.
West Bromwich Albion vs. Norwich City
This is not necessarily a game that will set the pulses racing for the neutral. However, I really enjoy watching West Brom under Steve Clarke, and I find them one of the most tactically balanced teams with a good mix of creative flair and direct efficiency. Norwich on the other hand have been one of the worst teams away from home this season, but at least the Canaries defence won't be coming up against Luis Suarez this season.
Prediction: It could be hard for West Brom to pick themselves up after putting in a lot of effort against City in their midweek home game, but Clarke will not want any points dropped against a visiting Norwich, and the Baggies should get the three points.
Sunderland vs. Tottenham Hotspur
That Sunderland managed to score three goals against Chelsea despite losing provides further evidence that Gus Poyet has added belief to the Sunderland players in addition to a general improvement in the standard of the Mackems performances.
The noises coming from the Spurs camp suggest that Andre Villas-Boas and the playing squad believe their comeback victory against Fulham at Craven Cottage might just be a turning point. We'll find out whether that's the case in the next few weeks, but the truth is that two long range goals hardly prove that Spurs have solved their scoring problems.
Prediction: I believe Tottenham were genuinely lucky to get all three points against Fulham, while conversely Sunderland probably should have garnered more points across the games that Poyet has managed. I think luck will even out in this game, and the home team will finally get their rewards in a crucial victory.
Fulham vs. Aston Villa
Fulham put in their best overall performance of the season against Tottenham, and while the close defeat must have hurt, Rene Meulensteen can take plenty of encouragement from his players creative flair and defensive discipline. The key question is whether the Cottagers can now perform at the same level consistently and most importantly against teams in the lower half of the table.
Aston Villa have snuck up to tenth in the table without setting the league on fire. I actually thought Paul Lambert's charges played their best football in August and September, but results weren't matching performances. They have been playing with less flair recently, but have been unbeaten for five games now. Most concerning for Villains fans however is that Christian Benteke has gone completely off the boil, and they will hope that Labor Kozak maintains his scoring form.
Prediction: Aston Villa haven't been playing well recently, and I think this is the game where they will not be able to escape with a result, as Meulensteen inspires his troops to a much-needed victory.
Arsenal vs. Everton
This is easily the game of the round, as two teams with the most impressive midfields seen in the Premier League this season come up against each other. After an impressive away victory at Cardiff, Arsenal followed it up with a performance of complete domination against Hull City, as the Gunners made four changes without disrupting the flow of the team one iota.
Everton are coming into the game on the back of their biggest victory of the season away to Manchester United. Fans of the Toffees have fallen in love with the style and panache displayed under new manager Roberto Martinez, and for many their victory at Old Trafford wasn't surprising as Everton have recorded the most midfield possession in the league this season. Romelu Lukaku, Ross Barkley as well as Gerard Deulofeu and Bryan Oviedo have been grabbing the headlines, but two absolutely crucial players that have kept things ticking for Everton have been Gareth Barry and James McCarthy. Martinez will rely on the duo if Everton are to get another impressive away result.
Prediction: As impressive as Everton's win at Old Trafford was, dominating against Arsenal's midfield at the Emirates is another matter altogether. It will be a game that will be easy on the eye for the neutral, but it's the Gunners fans who will be celebrating another three points at the top of the table.
Swansea City vs. Hull City
Swansea got a crucial victory against Newcastle when not many expected them to do so. Despite the 3-0 scoreline, Michel Vorm played a crucial role with some excellent saves. Nonetheless, the fact that Michael Laudrup's men displayed attacking variety despite the absence of Michu and Wilfried Bony must be especially encouraging.
After the high of victory over Liverpool, Steve Bruce's men couldn't live with Arsenal's midfield at the Emirates. However, Hull will expect to lose some matches against the top teams, but do possess the defensive discipline to frustrate teams like Swansea who can suffer from a lack of directness a times.
Prediction: I except the Swans to dominate possession at home, but Hull will be extremely organized with two banks of four, and I can see Bruce's men can escape with a point.
Tuesday, December 3, 2013
Premier League Predictions Round 14
Predictions have been a mug's game in one of the most open and unpredictable Premier League seasons so far. Hence, it only makes sense for yours truly to give it a go starting with the fourteenth round of fixtures taking place this week. I will try and do one of these for all the remaining rounds of the Premier League this season.
Crystal Palace vs. West Ham
Over the past month Crystal Palace have played at a standard that belies their position at the bottom of the Premier League. After drawing at home to Everton, the Eagles picked up a valuable win away at Hull, before suffering a somewhat unfortunate defeat at Norwich on the weekend in Tony Pulis' first game in charge. Miles Jedinak and Kagisho Dickagoi have played well throughout the season, but with the rest of the squad now playing much better, Palace will at the least be very hard to beat.
West Ham got a crucial win against fellow strugglers Fulham last time, with the Hammers brushing aside the Cottagers at Upton Park 3-0. Sam Allardyce still doesn't have an obvious solution to his scoring problems, although Carlton Cole was effective in his cameo from the bench on the weekend. It's unlikely that the Eagles defence are going to be as generous as Fulham's, so Allardyce will need to make some tweaks and is likely to start one of Joe Cole or Ravel Morrison in place of Matt Jarvis or Modibo Maiga.
Prediction: It's Tony Pulis' first home game in charge of Crystal Palace, and he will ensure that his team are well prepared to take advantage of the raucous support at Selhurst Park to overcome West Ham by a couple of goals.
Arsenal vs. Hull City
Arsenal's win at Cardiff was extremely impressive in a variety of aspects. Aaron Ramsey continued his rich vein of scoring form and Arsene Wenger described Mesut Ozil's performance perfectly when he said that he created two assists out of nothing. Crucially, when Cardiff started the second half with a great tempo, Arsenal stood firm unlike Manchester City and Manchester United. Wojciech Szczesny pulled of a great save, and the back four maintained their tactical discipline.
Hull are coming into the fixture on the back of their biggest win of the season, winning 3-1 against Liverpool at the KC stadium. Tom Huddlestone and Jake Livermore have played crucial roles in Hull's good start to the season, and Steve Bruce has shown a lot of flexibility with his tactics against different opposition. Bruce will rely on his central midfield duo to perform well again if Hull are to get anything from the game.
Prediction: With the exception of their 4-1 mauling at Southampton before the international break, Hull have actually performed with a lot of credit on their travels. However, the Emirates provides a different kind of challenge altogether. Arsenal won't necessarily score a bucketload, but their myriad options in midfield will help them overcome Hull's obdurate challenge.
Liverpool vs. Norwich City
Liverpool have to rebound from their disappointing loss against Hull with two relatively easy home games before three difficult away trips in December. Brendan Rodgers took the blame for the defeat on the weekend, but the manager has to identify the ideal formation for the Reds to accommodate his personnel to compensate for Daniel Sturridge's absence for the next two months. It might also be prudent for Rodgers to settle on a preferred pair of centre-backs rather than constantly chopping and changing.
Since Norwich suffered an embarrassing 7-0 thrashing away to Manchester City, they have improved their form, winning two consecutive home games affording Chris Hughton some breathing space. Gary Hooper and Leroy Fer are now looking more settled in yellow and green, but crucially Wes Hoolahan has been given opportunities to provide the creative spark from midfield and create opportunities for the strikers.
Prediction: Sturridge's absence will be keenly felt in tough away games later in the month, but at home to Norwich, Liverpool should have enough in their team to get the three points, especially with Luis Suarez on fire at Anfield and playing against a team he loves scoring goals against.
Manchester United vs. Everton
When David Moyes left Everton to succeed Sir Alex Ferguson the last thing he would have envisaged was being below the Toffees in the table when the two teams would come head to head. That is exactly what has transpired as Moyes has not managed to solve the Red Devil's midfield problems, with the biggest signing of the summer failing to make a mark at Old Trafford. At the same time Everton are playing with a style and verve instilled by new manager Roberto Martinez that was rarely seen at Goodison Park under his predecessor.
It could be argued that United have taken two steps back since their win over Arsenal at Old Trafford, with two consecutive 2-2 draws away to Cardiff and Tottenham. Everton on the other hand are coming into the game with 7 goals in their last two matches, with Gerard Deulofeu announcing his arrival in the Premier League, while Romelu Lukaku and Seamus Coleman continue their tremendous attacking form.
Prediction: Logic would dictate that if United's midfield struggled against Cardiff and Tottenham, Everton should also dominate the centre of the park, as Barry, McCarthy and Osman have been extremely impressive in possession throughout the season. However, United at Old Trafford still have an aura that is hard for visitors to breach. Martinez will ensure Everton play without fear, but Moyes will want to win this one more than any other. I predict a draw.
Southampton vs. Aston Villa
Southampton are playing at home again after two tough away defeats in London to Arsenal and Chelsea. The Saints played with immense credit against better players, and the debate about Mauricio Pochettino replacing Nigel Adkins as manager has surely now come to an end. Artur Boruc's unfortunate injury absence will be felt, despite his propensity for the eccentric. The busy schedule will also give Pochettino a chance to rotate, with Morgan Schneiderlin and Victor Wanyama looking tired towards the second half of the game at Stamford Bridge. Jack Cork could do with some minutes in the middle, and Rickie Lambert should start ahead of Dani Osvaldo.
Aston Villa followed up a spirited two goal comeback against midland rivals West Brom with a poor performance at home to Sunderland when they were lucky to escape with a point. Christian Benteke hasn't looked the same player since suffering an injury, and the defence while showing improvement over last season is still vulnerable against good attacks.
Prediction: Southampton to return to winning ways at St. Mary's.
Stoke vs. Cardiff City
It's 16th vs 17th in the Premier League, and the pressure in such games almost always ensures the occasion gets the better of the spectacle. Stoke were frankly pathetic against Everton, while Cardiff played their part in a tough home game against Arsenal. Cardiff have some good players in the middle, with Gary Medel and Kim Bo-Kyung playing particularly well. Unfortunately, Stoke haven't had a standout performer, with only Steven N'Zonzi the only consistent player this season.
Prediction: Cardiff are the better footballing side, but visiting the Britannia isn't the easiest road trip. I can't see much more than a cagey draw.
Sunderland vs. Chelsea
Gus Poyet has won both his home games in charge of Sunderland, and to top it off the Mackems put in a superb performance at Villa Park, where they really should have won. Chelsea finished a sluggish week with a good comeback win in the second half against Southampton. Poyet will want to make an impression against his former team, and it is clear that Sunderland now have a better sense of tactical discipline in their game. Mourinho will want to improve on his last visit to the Northeast, when Chelsea were comprehensively outplayed by Newcastle.
Prediction: If this game was played a month ago, Chelsea would be clear favourites. However, this game is much trickier than it appears on paper, and I am going to stick my neck out and go for a draw.
Swansea City vs. Newcastle United
Swansea actually played pretty well in the first half of their weekend fixture away to Manchester City, and if Jonathan de Guzman hadn't missed a sitter, the result could have been different. However, there is no denying that the Swans are in a bit of a funk after the injuries to Michu and Wilfried Bony, and some demoralizing results in the Europa League.
Newcastle's run of four consecutive victories has caught many by surprise. Loic Remy is playing really well, as is Yoan Gouffran and crucially the defence has stepped up to the task. The squad is now going to be tested in a busy December, as the replacements might not be up to the same standard of the first eleven.
Prediction: It's a tricky game to call, as both teams are capable of brilliance at any given moment, but also vulnerable to a lapse in concentration. I am going to give Newcastle the edge on the basis of having a lethal finisher who can exploit Swansea's defensive weakness.
Fulham vs. Tottenham Hotspur
A match-up with two managers under different kinds of pressure. Rene Meulensteen will be in charge of Fulham for the first time after Martin Jol's tenure came to an end after a horrible run of form. He will be expected to fix Fulham's defence first and foremost, and possibly instil a better work rate across the playing eleven.
Conversely Andre Villas-Boas is under increasing pressure to find a cure to Tottenham's scoring ills. There were some positives in the draw against Manchester United, but there is still no clear idea of how Spurs are going to score goals on a consistent basis. Jermain Defoe might get the start ahead of Roberto Soldado, while Aaron Lennon should retain his place on the right wing.
Prediction: Tottenham are the better team, but this fixture has historically thrown many surprises. Fulham's players will be eager to make an impression on their new boss, and Tottenham might struggle to score in a tougher match than they originally expected. I am going to go for a draw.
West Bromwich Albion vs. Manchester City
West Bromwich suffered their first defeat in a while at Newcastle on the weekend, and while the Baggies didn't do themselves justice in the first half, they might have snatched something from the game in the second half after improving across the park. It might be time to give young Saido Berahino another crack in the first team, but once again the crucial players for West Brom will be Morgan Amalfitano and Stephane Sessegnon, who have the movement and understanding that can unhinge the best defences as witnessed against Arsenal and Manchester United.
16 goals in three home games would suggest everything is fine with Manchester City, but it's no secret that their struggles have come on the road. Manuel Pelligrini hasn't mastered the Premier League away game yet, and now would be as good a time as any to start winning on City's travels. West Brom are definitely going to be a difficult opponent, but whether they can sustain their levels over a busy December is extremely doubtful. If Samir Nasri can maintain his form from the weekend, it will go a long way in easing the burden on the teams brilliant duo of strikers in Sergio Aguero and Alvaro Negredo.
Prediction: I think it's too close to call. An extra day's rest might mean West Brom have the edge, but the return of Vincent Kompany and the fact that City have a point to prove, will result in the Citizens winning a very close match.
Crystal Palace vs. West Ham
Over the past month Crystal Palace have played at a standard that belies their position at the bottom of the Premier League. After drawing at home to Everton, the Eagles picked up a valuable win away at Hull, before suffering a somewhat unfortunate defeat at Norwich on the weekend in Tony Pulis' first game in charge. Miles Jedinak and Kagisho Dickagoi have played well throughout the season, but with the rest of the squad now playing much better, Palace will at the least be very hard to beat.
West Ham got a crucial win against fellow strugglers Fulham last time, with the Hammers brushing aside the Cottagers at Upton Park 3-0. Sam Allardyce still doesn't have an obvious solution to his scoring problems, although Carlton Cole was effective in his cameo from the bench on the weekend. It's unlikely that the Eagles defence are going to be as generous as Fulham's, so Allardyce will need to make some tweaks and is likely to start one of Joe Cole or Ravel Morrison in place of Matt Jarvis or Modibo Maiga.
Prediction: It's Tony Pulis' first home game in charge of Crystal Palace, and he will ensure that his team are well prepared to take advantage of the raucous support at Selhurst Park to overcome West Ham by a couple of goals.
Arsenal vs. Hull City
Arsenal's win at Cardiff was extremely impressive in a variety of aspects. Aaron Ramsey continued his rich vein of scoring form and Arsene Wenger described Mesut Ozil's performance perfectly when he said that he created two assists out of nothing. Crucially, when Cardiff started the second half with a great tempo, Arsenal stood firm unlike Manchester City and Manchester United. Wojciech Szczesny pulled of a great save, and the back four maintained their tactical discipline.
Hull are coming into the fixture on the back of their biggest win of the season, winning 3-1 against Liverpool at the KC stadium. Tom Huddlestone and Jake Livermore have played crucial roles in Hull's good start to the season, and Steve Bruce has shown a lot of flexibility with his tactics against different opposition. Bruce will rely on his central midfield duo to perform well again if Hull are to get anything from the game.
Prediction: With the exception of their 4-1 mauling at Southampton before the international break, Hull have actually performed with a lot of credit on their travels. However, the Emirates provides a different kind of challenge altogether. Arsenal won't necessarily score a bucketload, but their myriad options in midfield will help them overcome Hull's obdurate challenge.
Liverpool vs. Norwich City
Liverpool have to rebound from their disappointing loss against Hull with two relatively easy home games before three difficult away trips in December. Brendan Rodgers took the blame for the defeat on the weekend, but the manager has to identify the ideal formation for the Reds to accommodate his personnel to compensate for Daniel Sturridge's absence for the next two months. It might also be prudent for Rodgers to settle on a preferred pair of centre-backs rather than constantly chopping and changing.
Since Norwich suffered an embarrassing 7-0 thrashing away to Manchester City, they have improved their form, winning two consecutive home games affording Chris Hughton some breathing space. Gary Hooper and Leroy Fer are now looking more settled in yellow and green, but crucially Wes Hoolahan has been given opportunities to provide the creative spark from midfield and create opportunities for the strikers.
Prediction: Sturridge's absence will be keenly felt in tough away games later in the month, but at home to Norwich, Liverpool should have enough in their team to get the three points, especially with Luis Suarez on fire at Anfield and playing against a team he loves scoring goals against.
Manchester United vs. Everton
When David Moyes left Everton to succeed Sir Alex Ferguson the last thing he would have envisaged was being below the Toffees in the table when the two teams would come head to head. That is exactly what has transpired as Moyes has not managed to solve the Red Devil's midfield problems, with the biggest signing of the summer failing to make a mark at Old Trafford. At the same time Everton are playing with a style and verve instilled by new manager Roberto Martinez that was rarely seen at Goodison Park under his predecessor.
It could be argued that United have taken two steps back since their win over Arsenal at Old Trafford, with two consecutive 2-2 draws away to Cardiff and Tottenham. Everton on the other hand are coming into the game with 7 goals in their last two matches, with Gerard Deulofeu announcing his arrival in the Premier League, while Romelu Lukaku and Seamus Coleman continue their tremendous attacking form.
Prediction: Logic would dictate that if United's midfield struggled against Cardiff and Tottenham, Everton should also dominate the centre of the park, as Barry, McCarthy and Osman have been extremely impressive in possession throughout the season. However, United at Old Trafford still have an aura that is hard for visitors to breach. Martinez will ensure Everton play without fear, but Moyes will want to win this one more than any other. I predict a draw.
Southampton vs. Aston Villa
Southampton are playing at home again after two tough away defeats in London to Arsenal and Chelsea. The Saints played with immense credit against better players, and the debate about Mauricio Pochettino replacing Nigel Adkins as manager has surely now come to an end. Artur Boruc's unfortunate injury absence will be felt, despite his propensity for the eccentric. The busy schedule will also give Pochettino a chance to rotate, with Morgan Schneiderlin and Victor Wanyama looking tired towards the second half of the game at Stamford Bridge. Jack Cork could do with some minutes in the middle, and Rickie Lambert should start ahead of Dani Osvaldo.
Aston Villa followed up a spirited two goal comeback against midland rivals West Brom with a poor performance at home to Sunderland when they were lucky to escape with a point. Christian Benteke hasn't looked the same player since suffering an injury, and the defence while showing improvement over last season is still vulnerable against good attacks.
Prediction: Southampton to return to winning ways at St. Mary's.
Stoke vs. Cardiff City
It's 16th vs 17th in the Premier League, and the pressure in such games almost always ensures the occasion gets the better of the spectacle. Stoke were frankly pathetic against Everton, while Cardiff played their part in a tough home game against Arsenal. Cardiff have some good players in the middle, with Gary Medel and Kim Bo-Kyung playing particularly well. Unfortunately, Stoke haven't had a standout performer, with only Steven N'Zonzi the only consistent player this season.
Prediction: Cardiff are the better footballing side, but visiting the Britannia isn't the easiest road trip. I can't see much more than a cagey draw.
Sunderland vs. Chelsea
Gus Poyet has won both his home games in charge of Sunderland, and to top it off the Mackems put in a superb performance at Villa Park, where they really should have won. Chelsea finished a sluggish week with a good comeback win in the second half against Southampton. Poyet will want to make an impression against his former team, and it is clear that Sunderland now have a better sense of tactical discipline in their game. Mourinho will want to improve on his last visit to the Northeast, when Chelsea were comprehensively outplayed by Newcastle.
Prediction: If this game was played a month ago, Chelsea would be clear favourites. However, this game is much trickier than it appears on paper, and I am going to stick my neck out and go for a draw.
Swansea City vs. Newcastle United
Swansea actually played pretty well in the first half of their weekend fixture away to Manchester City, and if Jonathan de Guzman hadn't missed a sitter, the result could have been different. However, there is no denying that the Swans are in a bit of a funk after the injuries to Michu and Wilfried Bony, and some demoralizing results in the Europa League.
Newcastle's run of four consecutive victories has caught many by surprise. Loic Remy is playing really well, as is Yoan Gouffran and crucially the defence has stepped up to the task. The squad is now going to be tested in a busy December, as the replacements might not be up to the same standard of the first eleven.
Prediction: It's a tricky game to call, as both teams are capable of brilliance at any given moment, but also vulnerable to a lapse in concentration. I am going to give Newcastle the edge on the basis of having a lethal finisher who can exploit Swansea's defensive weakness.
Fulham vs. Tottenham Hotspur
A match-up with two managers under different kinds of pressure. Rene Meulensteen will be in charge of Fulham for the first time after Martin Jol's tenure came to an end after a horrible run of form. He will be expected to fix Fulham's defence first and foremost, and possibly instil a better work rate across the playing eleven.
Conversely Andre Villas-Boas is under increasing pressure to find a cure to Tottenham's scoring ills. There were some positives in the draw against Manchester United, but there is still no clear idea of how Spurs are going to score goals on a consistent basis. Jermain Defoe might get the start ahead of Roberto Soldado, while Aaron Lennon should retain his place on the right wing.
Prediction: Tottenham are the better team, but this fixture has historically thrown many surprises. Fulham's players will be eager to make an impression on their new boss, and Tottenham might struggle to score in a tougher match than they originally expected. I am going to go for a draw.
West Bromwich Albion vs. Manchester City
West Bromwich suffered their first defeat in a while at Newcastle on the weekend, and while the Baggies didn't do themselves justice in the first half, they might have snatched something from the game in the second half after improving across the park. It might be time to give young Saido Berahino another crack in the first team, but once again the crucial players for West Brom will be Morgan Amalfitano and Stephane Sessegnon, who have the movement and understanding that can unhinge the best defences as witnessed against Arsenal and Manchester United.
16 goals in three home games would suggest everything is fine with Manchester City, but it's no secret that their struggles have come on the road. Manuel Pelligrini hasn't mastered the Premier League away game yet, and now would be as good a time as any to start winning on City's travels. West Brom are definitely going to be a difficult opponent, but whether they can sustain their levels over a busy December is extremely doubtful. If Samir Nasri can maintain his form from the weekend, it will go a long way in easing the burden on the teams brilliant duo of strikers in Sergio Aguero and Alvaro Negredo.
Prediction: I think it's too close to call. An extra day's rest might mean West Brom have the edge, but the return of Vincent Kompany and the fact that City have a point to prove, will result in the Citizens winning a very close match.
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